Sat, Jan 3, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Winnipeg Jets 2, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.
41%
9%
10%
39%
OTT winsWPG wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Scheifele–Connor–Vilardi | Scheifele–Connor–Iafallo | Niederreiter–Lowry–Barron | Toews–Barron–Perfetti | Niederreiter–Lowry–Vilardi | Namestnikov–Pearson–Koepke | Toews–Iafallo–Perfetti | Toews–Niederreiter–Perfetti | Lowry–Pearson–Barron | DeMelo–Morrissey | Samberg–Pionk | Miller–Stanley | DeMelo–Samberg | Morrissey–Stanley | Miller–Morrissey | Morrissey–Samberg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batherson–Tkachuk–Cozens | 1:410.11–0.00 | 2:280.02–0.21 | 1:280.15–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.20 | 0:540.00–0.15 | 5:000.23–0.07 | 1:340.11–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.20 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Giroux–Amadio–Pinto | 3:030.17–0.00 | 3:550.13–0.64 | 4:330.19–0.64 | 1:440.12–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Zetterlund–Greig–Stützle | 1:150.08–0.00 | 3:110.00–0.20 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:020.08–0.00 | 2:460.00–0.19 | 0:410.00–0.11 | ||||||||||
| Perron–Cousins–Halliday | 1:060.04–0.00 | 1:000.22–0.00 | 0:550.12–0.00 | 1:020.12–0.00 | 0:400.22–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:320.04–0.00 | |||||||||
| Perron–Cousins–Greig | 0:320.00–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Perron–Cousins–Stützle | 0:410.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Amadio–Pinto–Greig | 1:150.16–0.12 | 0:450.00–0.12 | 0:300.16–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Sanderson–Zub | 5:050.17–0.25 | 4:210.13–0.56 | 0:530.00–0.15 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 7:160.19–0.86 | 2:060.12–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Jensen–Chabot | 0:470.16–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.19 | 2:490.11–0.00 | 3:040.00–0.20 | 1:070.03–0.02 | 1:140.12–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.20 | 2:220.13–0.19 | 5:220.08–0.14 | 3:050.26–0.17 | 0:400.00–0.20 | |||||
| Spence–Kleven | 0:550.04–0.01 | 0:390.04–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.07 | 3:190.37–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.00 | 3:450.41–0.07 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:320.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 26 | 27:56 | 1:04 | 2:38 | 2 | 4 | |
| 25 | 26:05 | 1:03 | 1:57 | 4 | 5 | |
| 29 | 24:44 | 0:51 | 1:51 | 5 | 7 | |
| 23 | 22:29 | 0:59 | 1:46 | 5 | 2 | |
| 28 | 21:22 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 5 | 8 | |
| 27 | 20:51 | 0:46 | 2:13 | 2 | 7 | |
| 28 | 20:49 | 0:45 | 1:38 | 7 | 4 | |
| 19 | 20:34 | 1:05 | 1:54 | 4 | 1 | |
| 26 | 20:30 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 4 | 6 | |
| 25 | 19:48 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 2 | 3 | |
| 27 | 18:42 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 5 | 5 | |
| 23 | 18:26 | 0:48 | 2:01 | 7 | 3 | |
| 25 | 18:15 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 18:04 | 1:00 | 1:49 | 3 | 2 | |
| 21 | 18:00 | 0:51 | 1:59 | 7 | 3 | |
| 19 | 17:28 | 0:55 | 1:16 | 6 | 2 | |
| 28 | 16:23 | 0:35 | 0:59 | 2 | 8 | |
| 22 | 16:09 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 15:48 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 1 | 3 | |
| 21 | 15:35 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 5 | 5 | |
| 21 | 15:24 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 6 | 3 | |
| 19 | 15:17 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 14:34 | 0:49 | 1:11 | 6 | 0 | |
| 20 | 14:18 | 0:43 | 1:47 | 8 | 3 | |
| 22 | 14:13 | 0:39 | 1:34 | 4 | 6 | |
| 17 | 13:33 | 0:48 | 1:46 | 2 | 2 | |
| 16 | 12:33 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 0 | 3 | |
| 17 | 11:24 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 3 | 0 | |
| 17 | 10:46 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 10:29 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 | |
| 20 | 10:10 | 0:31 | 0:55 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 10:03 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 2 | 1 | |
| 16 | 9:21 | 0:35 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 | |
| 13 | 8:46 | 0:40 | 1:36 | 0 | 5 | |
| 15 | 8:20 | 0:33 | 0:58 | 1 | 2 | |
| 12 | 7:53 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 3 | 0 |