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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 3, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Islanders 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

NYI winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000−4127:310.0754.0%0.0
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95000+2026:400.0051.9%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #342020622:290.5034.4%+44.5
Troy StecherD · #28000−1122:070.0659.5%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #740110020:170.0834.4%+19.9
Matthew KniesLW · #23000−2019:030.2559.5%0.0
Jake McCabeD · #22000+2118:070.0848.0%0.0
Max DomiC · #110110017:210.0037.8%+19.9
John TavaresC · #91000−2117:040.3267.3%0.0
Matias MaccelliLW · #63000−1116:550.2150.1%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #20000015:440.0058.4%0.0
Scott LaughtonC · #240000314:200.3951.5%0.0
Matt BenningD · #330000012:260.0060.5%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #180000212:050.0242.9%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89101+1212:020.4674.7%+27.6
Easton CowanRW · #53000+1111:580.1678.1%0.0
Nicolas RoyC · #55011+1211:420.0869.6%+27.6
Calle JarnkrokC · #190000010:420.0042.9%0.0
Joseph Woll#60O25214.8402.54−1.564:11

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Adam PelechD · #3101+1224:040.1449.7%+20.5
Mathew BarzalC · #13022+1222:490.2656.6%+85.4
Tony DeAngeloD · #77011+3222:420.2266.5%+34.5
Matthew SchaeferD · #48202+1222:110.4667.0%+77.4
Emil HeinemanLW · #51112−1220:110.2445.3%+85.4
Ryan PulockD · #60000119:450.0656.8%0.0
Scott MayfieldD · #24000−2119:090.1825.7%0.0
Jonathan DrouinLW · #29022+2118:560.0661.3%+47.0
Simon HolmstromRW · #10000+2318:450.2793.4%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44011+1218:300.1577.5%+26.5
Anders LeeLW · #27000−1115:340.2151.6%0.0
Maxim ShabanovRW · #49000−1215:040.0733.2%0.0
Cole McWardD · #4000−2014:500.0025.3%0.0
Marc GatcombC · #160000113:160.037.0%0.0
Casey CizikasC · #530000013:120.0014.0%0.0
Kyle MacLeanC · #320000110:150.0414.6%0.0
Maxim TsyplakovRW · #70000010:100.0031.7%0.0
Calum RitchieC · #64000−129:100.1427.9%0.0
David Rittich#33W21183.8572.68−0.364:11