Sat, Jan 3, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Islanders 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
38%
9%
10%
43%
NYI winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Domi–Matthews–McMann | Tavares–Maccelli–Knies | Jarnkrok–Laughton–Lorentz | Roy–Robertson–Cowan | Matthews–McMann–Knies | Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | Rielly–Stecher | Benning–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | Rielly–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Rielly–Benning | Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Benning | Stecher–Benoit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee–Barzal–Heineman | 5:530.38–0.25 | 1:150.00–0.06 | 1:180.11–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.23 | 6:380.48–0.33 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.02 | 0:400.06–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.15 | |||||
| Pageau–Drouin–Holmstrom | 4:160.15–0.00 | 3:570.15–0.03 | 1:290.06–0.00 | 3:480.18–0.00 | 3:280.19–0.02 | 0:340.04–0.03 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:450.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Cizikas–MacLean–Gatcomb | 1:270.00–0.00 | 4:110.01–0.21 | 3:310.00–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.26 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ritchie–Tsyplakov–Shabanov | 3:520.31–0.22 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 2:480.13–0.07 | 0:360.14–0.14 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Cizikas–Gatcomb–Shabanov | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.14 | 0:310.00–0.14 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Pageau–Tsyplakov–Shabanov | 0:500.00–0.11 | 0:540.00–0.11 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Drouin–Holmstrom–Ritchie | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Barzal–Heineman–Shabanov | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Pelech–DeAngelo | 0:530.09–0.00 | 6:460.08–0.00 | 3:550.18–0.19 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 4:120.26–0.00 | 3:450.02–0.00 | 2:040.00–0.15 | 1:000.00–0.12 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:550.05–0.00 | |||||
| Pulock–Schaefer | 8:110.17–0.25 | 2:000.04–0.02 | 5:510.33–0.25 | 2:320.08–0.02 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Mayfield–McWard | 0:530.00–0.23 | 3:030.00–0.00 | 6:260.31–0.64 | 2:340.00–0.41 | 3:540.07–0.32 | 4:270.13–0.07 | 0:500.14–0.14 | ||||||||
| Mayfield–Pelech | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Pulock–DeAngelo | 1:180.17–0.00 | 0:470.09–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Pelech–Pulock | 1:240.00–0.06 | 0:570.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Mayfield–Schaefer | 0:520.05–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| DeAngelo–Schaefer | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Pelech–Schaefer | 0:390.03–0.14 | ||||||||||||||
| Mayfield–Pulock |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYITORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 37 | 27:31 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 8 | 1 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 38 | 26:40 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 3 | 5 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 30 | 24:04 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 5 | 3 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 27 | 22:49 | 0:51 | 1:53 | 6 | 2 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 27 | 22:42 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 2 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 26 | 22:29 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 2 | 4 |
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 30 | 22:11 | 0:44 | 1:49 | 5 | 4 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 34 | 22:07 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 3 | 4 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 26 | 20:17 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 3 | 3 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 28 | 20:11 | 0:43 | 1:45 | 6 | 2 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 30 | 19:45 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 4 | 3 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 23 | 19:09 | 0:50 | 2:00 | 3 | 1 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 23 | 19:03 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 4 | 2 |
 Jonathan DrouinNYI | 22 | 18:56 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 4 | 2 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 24 | 18:45 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 4 | 3 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 23 | 18:30 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 4 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 29 | 18:07 | 0:37 | 1:25 | 2 | 6 |
 Max DomiTOR | 28 | 17:21 | 0:37 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 24 | 17:04 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 4 | 3 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 23 | 16:55 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 4 | 3 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 28 | 15:44 | 0:34 | 1:04 | 0 | 5 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 23 | 15:34 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 5 | 3 |
 Maxim ShabanovNYI | 18 | 15:04 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 2 | 0 |
 Cole McWardNYI | 16 | 14:50 | 0:56 | 1:48 | 1 | 1 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 23 | 14:20 | 0:37 | 1:19 | 0 | 7 |
 Marc GatcombNYI | 18 | 13:16 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 19 | 13:12 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt BenningTOR | 21 | 12:26 | 0:36 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 20 | 12:05 | 0:36 | 0:52 | 0 | 3 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 17 | 12:02 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 17 | 11:58 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 2 | 0 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 18 | 11:42 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 18 | 10:42 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 0 | 3 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 15 | 10:15 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Maxim TsyplakovNYI | 12 | 10:10 | 0:51 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 12 | 9:10 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 3 | 1 |