Mon, Jan 5, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Seattle Kraken 5, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 52% of the time.
44%
8%
9%
39%
CGY winsSEA wins
Seattle Kraken
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.04 | 64.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.11 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:07 | 0.01 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.01 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.08 | 59.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.07 | 32.3% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.49 | 32.7% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.22 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.33 | 43.0% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.24 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:32 | 0.09 | 44.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.34 | 52.1% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:46 | 0.40 | 63.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.26 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.34 | 55.8% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.24 | 55.7% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.02 | 59.9% | +21.0 |
| W | 42 | 41 | 1 | .976 | 3.46 | +2.5 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:19 | 0.26 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:15 | 0.12 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.04 | 57.0% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:21 | 0.43 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.04 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.10 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.07 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 16:40 | 0.29 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 16:39 | 0.24 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:38 | 0.32 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:20 | 0.51 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.11 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.39 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.04 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.15 | 40.0% | +13.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 9:56 | 0.33 | 39.3% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.98 | −1.0 | 58:10 |