Wed, Jan 7, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal
Calgary Flames 1, Montréal Canadiens 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 81% of the time.
75%
13%
MTL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.09 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:51 | 0.49 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:56 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:32 | 0.33 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:30 | 0.14 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.05 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.10 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.08 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.01 | 39.3% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.14 | 46.6% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:41 | 0.40 | 54.7% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.04 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:23 | 0.10 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.07 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 5.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 4.05 | 0.0 | 59:40 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 23:29 | 0.14 | 68.0% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:10 | 0.11 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 19:22 | 0.00 | 69.4% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:46 | 0.04 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.16 | 62.5% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.25 | 63.7% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.03 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.64 | 65.0% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.05 | 85.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:52 | 0.35 | 66.8% | +7.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 14:43 | 0.44 | 68.0% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.15 | 88.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.10 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 13:57 | 0.10 | 74.7% | +39.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:24 | 0.57 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:16 | 0.44 | 88.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:38 | 0.48 | 88.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.03 | +1.0 | 60:00 |