Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Florida Panthers 5, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 85% of the time.
10%
81%
WSH winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Gustav ForslingD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:59 | 0.02 | 63.6% | 0.0 |
 Aaron EkbladD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:08 | 0.02 | 61.1% | +15.8 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22:05 | 0.81 | 54.1% | +24.5 |
 Anton LundellC · #15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:19 | 0.67 | 53.9% | +24.5 |
 Sam BennettC · #9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 20:22 | 0.75 | 70.0% | +41.7 |
 Carter VerhaegheC · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 19:41 | 1.07 | 70.9% | +26.0 |
 Niko MikkolaD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.04 | 58.7% | +25.6 |
 Uvis BalinskisD · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:01 | 0.07 | 43.9% | +17.5 |
 Eetu LuostarinenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.12 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
 A.J. GreerLW · #10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:40 | 0.45 | 59.5% | +16.1 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:44 | 0.31 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Jeff PetryD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.01 | 62.6% | 0.0 |
 Mackie SamoskevichRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.17 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
 Tobias BjornfotD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:00 | 0.28 | 68.7% | 0.0 |
 Sandis VilmanisLW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.01 | 32.3% | 0.0 |
 Cole SchwindtC · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Luke KuninC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:50 | 0.23 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
 Jesper BoqvistC · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:27 | 0.08 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Daniil Tarasov#40 | W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.52 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jakob ChychrunD · #6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 25:02 | 0.28 | 45.7% | +41.7 |
 Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:47 | 0.29 | 51.5% | +16.8 |
 John CarlsonD · #74 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:56 | 0.07 | 60.2% | +41.7 |
 Connor McMichaelLW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.15 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt RoyD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.04 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LeonardRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.17 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 Dylan StromeC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.40 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Martin FehérváryD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:46 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.49 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus SandinD · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.12 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Alex OvechkinLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.08 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Nic DowdC · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 40.9% | +24.9 |
 Ethen FrankRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.27 | 26.6% | 0.0 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.01 | 11.2% | 0.0 |
 Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.08 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:21 | 0.04 | 95.3% | 0.0 |
 Hendrix LapierreC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:36 | 0.04 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Brett LeasonRW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:47 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 |
 Logan Thompson#48 | L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.94 | +0.9 | 59:37 |