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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Florida Panthers 5, Washington Capitals 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 85% of the time.

WSH winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Reinhart–Luostarinen–LundellVerhaeghe–Bennett–GreerRodrigues–Samoskevich–VilmanisKunin–Boqvist–SchwindtReinhart–Luostarinen–SchwindtEkblad–ForslingMikkola–BalinskisPetry–BjornfotPetry–Mikkola
McMichael–Protas–Leonard7:410.51–0.581:460.03–0.140:370.00–0.006:550.52–0.333:270.01–0.37
Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier0:450.00–0.104:410.57–0.201:140.01–0.012:310.00–0.133:480.58–0.00
Dowd–Miroshnichenko–Frank0:580.01–0.001:480.03–0.002:430.16–0.230:440.04–0.001:590.06–0.171:030.00–0.143:400.19–0.04
Duhaime–Leason–Lapierre1:030.04–0.002:120.05–0.010:300.00–0.000:400.04–0.012:100.05–0.00
Beauvillier–McMichael–Leonard0:550.11–0.090:390.03–0.000:410.03–0.001:060.11–0.09
Ovechkin–Strome–Protas1:300.01–0.001:350.01–0.00
Strome–Beauvillier–Miroshnichenko0:580.05–0.021:070.05–0.10
Ovechkin–Dowd–Frank0:430.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Beauvillier–McMichael–Protas0:360.00–0.081:010.00–0.08
Carlson–Chychrun6:310.31–0.024:330.53–0.481:030.16–0.201:350.13–0.000:310.00–0.007:400.31–0.384:350.50–0.143:010.29–0.140:360.00–0.12
Roy–Fehérváry5:540.23–0.662:550.11–0.000:420.00–0.011:320.02–0.017:100.26–0.603:170.11–0.241:520.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Sandin1:130.00–0.045:200.05–0.030:460.04–0.001:230.00–0.002:150.06–0.003:320.04–0.25
Roy–Sandin1:450.00–0.230:390.03–0.000:390.02–0.000:440.03–0.001:500.00–0.230:300.02–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry1:290.03–0.000:360.00–0.001:310.03–0.000:520.00–0.00
Carlson–Sandin0:580.00–0.081:190.24–0.080:360.11–0.00
Roy–Chychrun0:390.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Chychrun0:390.00–0.09
Chychrun–Sandin0:590.05–0.021:000.05–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLeonard FProtas FMcMichael FOvechkin FStrome FBeauvillier FFrank FDowd FMiroshnichenko FLeason FDuhaime FLapierre FRoy DFehérváry DChychrun DCarlson Dvan Riemsdyk DSandin DThompson GReinhart FLundell FLuostarinen FGreer FBennett FVerhaeghe FSamoskevich FRodrigues FVilmanis FBoqvist FKunin FSchwindt FEkblad DForsling DBalinskis DMikkola DPetry DBjornfot DTarasov G
WSHFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Gustav ForslingFLA3126:590:521:3355
Aaron EkbladFLA3326:080:481:3354
Jakob ChychrunWSH2425:021:032:1051
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2622:470:531:4841
Sam ReinhartFLA2722:050:492:0045
John CarlsonWSH2421:560:551:4133
Anton LundellFLA2721:190:471:5845
Connor McMichaelWSH2620:280:471:4924
Matt RoyWSH2320:220:531:4805
Sam BennettFLA2320:220:532:0343
Carter VerhaegheFLA2119:410:561:5941
Ryan LeonardWSH2119:360:561:5121
Niko MikkolaFLA2619:210:451:3633
Dylan StromeWSH2219:050:522:0270
Uvis BalinskisFLA2819:010:411:2754
Martin FehérváryWSH2218:460:511:5005
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2418:410:471:4225
Anthony BeauvillierWSH2418:040:451:2240
Rasmus SandinWSH2217:520:491:3022
Alex OvechkinWSH2116:080:462:0880
A.J. GreerFLA2115:400:451:2721
Nic DowdWSH2115:140:441:3319
Ethen FrankWSH2014:490:442:0425
Evan RodriguesFLA2014:440:441:0153
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH1813:570:471:2622
Jeff PetryFLA1813:550:461:3301
Mackie SamoskevichFLA1612:070:451:0841
Tobias BjornfotFLA1712:000:421:4400
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH1611:490:441:2405
Sandis VilmanisFLA1510:490:431:1261
Cole SchwindtFLA127:510:391:1720
Luke KuninFLA137:500:361:0820
Jesper BoqvistFLA127:270:371:0330
Brandon DuhaimeWSH147:210:321:1505
Hendrix LapierreWSH116:360:361:1002
Brett LeasonWSH105:470:351:0604