Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Florida Panthers 5, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 85% of the time.
10%
81%
WSH winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Reinhart–Luostarinen–Lundell | Verhaeghe–Bennett–Greer | Rodrigues–Samoskevich–Vilmanis | Kunin–Boqvist–Schwindt | Reinhart–Luostarinen–Schwindt | Ekblad–Forsling | Mikkola–Balinskis | Petry–Bjornfot | Petry–Mikkola | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McMichael–Protas–Leonard | 7:410.51–0.58 | 1:460.03–0.14 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 6:550.52–0.33 | 3:270.01–0.37 | ||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | 0:450.00–0.10 | 4:410.57–0.20 | 1:140.01–0.01 | 2:310.00–0.13 | 3:480.58–0.00 | ||||
| Dowd–Miroshnichenko–Frank | 0:580.01–0.00 | 1:480.03–0.00 | 2:430.16–0.23 | 0:440.04–0.00 | 1:590.06–0.17 | 1:030.00–0.14 | 3:400.19–0.04 | ||
| Duhaime–Leason–Lapierre | 1:030.04–0.00 | 2:120.05–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:400.04–0.01 | 2:100.05–0.00 | ||||
| Beauvillier–McMichael–Leonard | 0:550.11–0.09 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.00 | 1:060.11–0.09 | |||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 1:300.01–0.00 | 1:350.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Strome–Beauvillier–Miroshnichenko | 0:580.05–0.02 | 1:070.05–0.10 | |||||||
| Ovechkin–Dowd–Frank | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Beauvillier–McMichael–Protas | 0:360.00–0.08 | 1:010.00–0.08 | |||||||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 6:310.31–0.02 | 4:330.53–0.48 | 1:030.16–0.20 | 1:350.13–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 7:400.31–0.38 | 4:350.50–0.14 | 3:010.29–0.14 | 0:360.00–0.12 |
| Roy–Fehérváry | 5:540.23–0.66 | 2:550.11–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.01 | 1:320.02–0.01 | 7:100.26–0.60 | 3:170.11–0.24 | 1:520.00–0.00 | ||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 1:130.00–0.04 | 5:200.05–0.03 | 0:460.04–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 2:150.06–0.00 | 3:320.04–0.25 | |||
| Roy–Sandin | 1:450.00–0.23 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 0:440.03–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.23 | 0:300.02–0.00 | |||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | 1:290.03–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:310.03–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||
| Carlson–Sandin | 0:580.00–0.08 | 1:190.24–0.08 | 0:360.11–0.00 | ||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | 0:390.00–0.09 | ||||||||
| Chychrun–Sandin | 0:590.05–0.02 | 1:000.05–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 31 | 26:59 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 5 | 5 | |
| 33 | 26:08 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 5 | 4 | |
| 24 | 25:02 | 1:03 | 2:10 | 5 | 1 | |
| 26 | 22:47 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 4 | 1 | |
| 27 | 22:05 | 0:49 | 2:00 | 4 | 5 | |
| 24 | 21:56 | 0:55 | 1:41 | 3 | 3 | |
| 27 | 21:19 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 4 | 5 | |
| 26 | 20:28 | 0:47 | 1:49 | 2 | 4 | |
| 23 | 20:22 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 0 | 5 | |
| 23 | 20:22 | 0:53 | 2:03 | 4 | 3 | |
| 21 | 19:41 | 0:56 | 1:59 | 4 | 1 | |
| 21 | 19:36 | 0:56 | 1:51 | 2 | 1 | |
| 26 | 19:21 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 3 | 3 | |
| 22 | 19:05 | 0:52 | 2:02 | 7 | 0 | |
| 28 | 19:01 | 0:41 | 1:27 | 5 | 4 | |
| 22 | 18:46 | 0:51 | 1:50 | 0 | 5 | |
| 24 | 18:41 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 2 | 5 | |
| 24 | 18:04 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 4 | 0 | |
| 22 | 17:52 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 | |
| 21 | 16:08 | 0:46 | 2:08 | 8 | 0 | |
| 21 | 15:40 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 15:14 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 1 | 9 | |
| 20 | 14:49 | 0:44 | 2:04 | 2 | 5 | |
| 20 | 14:44 | 0:44 | 1:01 | 5 | 3 | |
| 18 | 13:57 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 2 | 2 | |
| 18 | 13:55 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 0 | 1 | |
| 16 | 12:07 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 4 | 1 | |
| 17 | 12:00 | 0:42 | 1:44 | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 11:49 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 0 | 5 | |
| 15 | 10:49 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 6 | 1 | |
| 12 | 7:51 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 2 | 0 | |
| 13 | 7:50 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 2 | 0 | |
| 12 | 7:27 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 3 | 0 | |
| 14 | 7:21 | 0:32 | 1:15 | 0 | 5 | |
| 11 | 6:36 | 0:36 | 1:10 | 0 | 2 | |
| 10 | 5:47 | 0:35 | 1:06 | 0 | 4 |