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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Washington Capitals 4, Detroit Red Wings 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

DET winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Carlson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, Protas, Sourdif

  3. P1 4:55Shot by Seider, saved by Lindgren
  4. P1 5:52Shot by Leonard, saved by Gibson
  5. P1 6:27Goal by Dowd (McMichael, Chychrun)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Compher, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie · WSH Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, McMichael, Leonard

  6. P1 6:59Shot by Chisholm, saved by Gibson
  7. P1 7:12Shot by Appleton, saved by Lindgren
  8. P1 7:39Shot by Kasper, saved by Lindgren
  9. P1 9:47Shot by Strome, saved by Gibson
  10. P1 12:22Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Gibson
  11. P1 13:08Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Gibson
  12. P1 13:31Shot by Leonard, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 17:58van Riemsdyk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Hamonic, Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond, Kasper · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Protas, Sourdif

  14. P1 0:00Period end
  15. P2 0:00Period start
  16. P2 0:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Gibson
  17. P2 1:40Shot by Sourdif, saved by Gibson
  18. P2 1:52Shot by Sandin, saved by Gibson
  19. P2 2:04Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Lindgren
  20. P2 4:27Shot by Appleton, saved by Lindgren
  21. P2 4:45Lindgren: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Compher, Appleton, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, Protas, Sourdif

  22. P2 5:05Shot by Compher, saved by Lindgren5v4
  23. P2 6:12Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Lindgren5v4
  24. P2 8:48Shot by Protas, saved by Gibson
  25. P2 9:52Goal by Chiarot (DeBrincat, Kane)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Hamonic, Chiarot, Copp, DeBrincat · WSH Dowd, Fehérváry, Sandin, McMichael, Leonard

  26. P2 10:17Shot by Raymond, saved by Lindgren
  27. P2 11:49Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Gibson
  28. P2 12:43Shot by Carlson, saved by Gibson
  29. P2 12:57Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Gibson
  30. P2 15:23Shot by Carlson, saved by Gibson
  31. P2 15:40Shot by Kane, saved by Lindgren
  32. P2 17:41Shot by Seider, saved by Lindgren
  33. P2 0:00Period end
  34. P3 0:00Period start
  35. P3 0:25Shot by Compher, saved by Lindgren
  36. P3 1:09Shot by Protas, saved by Gibson
  37. P3 1:34Shot by Sandin, saved by Gibson
  38. P3 4:14Shot by Kane, saved by Lindgren
  39. P3 6:12Chiarot: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Johansson, Raymond, Kasper · WSH Wilson, Chychrun, Sandin, Protas, Sourdif

  40. P3 8:47Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Lindgren
  41. P3 9:36Goal by Strome (Ovechkin, Chychrun)+28 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Sandin-Pellikka · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun

  42. P3 9:36Soderblom: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Sandin-Pellikka · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Beauvillier, Chychrun

  43. P3 10:06Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Gibson4v5
  44. P3 11:52Ovechkin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Beauvillier, Fehérváry, Protas, Sourdif

  45. P3 13:39Shot by Kasper, saved by Lindgren5v4
  46. P3 14:44Goal by Chisholm (Chychrun, Strome)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Appleton, Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom · WSH Strome, Chychrun, Chisholm, Sourdif, Frank

  47. P3 16:34Shot by Chiarot, saved by Lindgren
  48. P3 17:20Shot by Raymond, saved by Lindgren6v5
  49. P3 17:50Shot by Seider, saved by Lindgren6v5
  50. P3 18:20Goal by DeBrincat (Larkin, Copp)6v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Wilson, Fehérváry, Protas

  51. P3 19:07Goal by DeBrincat (Seider)6v5+40 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, Protas, Sourdif

  52. P3 0:00Period end
  53. OT 0:00Period start
  54. OT 0:34Shot by Larkin, saved by Lindgren3v3
  55. OT 1:10Shot by Carlson, saved by Gibson3v3
  56. OT 2:47Shot by Leonard, saved by Gibson3v3
  57. OT 4:50Shot by Chychrun, saved by Gibson3v3
  58. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  59. SO Period start
  60. SO Goal by Raymond, unassistedother
  61. SO Goal by Strome, unassistedother
  62. SO Goal by Kane, unassistedother
  63. SO Goal by Leonard, unassistedother
  64. SO Goal by Dowd, unassistedother
  65. SO Period endother
  66. SO Finalother