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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Washington Capitals 4, Detroit Red Wings 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

DET winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Wilson–Protas–SourdifOvechkin–Strome–BeauvillierDowd–McMichael–LeonardDuhaime–Lapierre–FrankCarlson–Fehérváryvan Riemsdyk–ChychrunChychrun–SandinCarlson–SandinSandin–ChisholmCarlson–Chychrunvan Riemsdyk–FehérváryCarlson–ChisholmChychrun–Chisholmvan Riemsdyk–SandinFehérváry–Sandin
Larkin–Raymond–Kasper5:050.07–0.151:480.11–0.083:330.16–0.152:050.11–0.081:390.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Kane–Copp–DeBrincat0:320.09–0.003:420.09–0.300:300.05–0.002:350.06–0.080:410.01–0.001:430.00–0.001:170.00–0.071:230.00–0.241:060.10–0.000:460.00–0.000:510.05–0.080:420.09–0.000:420.10–0.00
Compher–Appleton–Finnie1:330.01–0.000:500.00–0.001:310.13–0.001:270.01–0.000:420.02–0.000:330.00–0.000:470.05–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Rasmussen–Soderblom1:390.00–0.060:440.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:350.00–0.051:060.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:300.00–0.041:010.00–0.081:040.00–0.00
Appleton–Rasmussen–Soderblom1:580.00–0.050:460.00–0.041:110.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.040:480.00–0.000:470.00–0.07
van Riemsdyk–Compher–Finnie0:390.00–0.042:490.00–0.123:290.00–0.17
Bernard-Docker–Seider4:300.01–0.042:370.00–0.102:330.05–0.082:020.00–0.004:320.11–0.002:350.00–0.120:520.00–0.000:580.00–0.020:530.00–0.041:040.05–0.001:570.05–0.051:240.00–0.00
Hamonic–Johansson1:160.00–0.150:350.00–0.113:150.07–0.012:070.06–0.141:390.00–0.152:400.07–0.011:050.00–0.001:060.00–0.14
Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka1:420.09–0.002:120.01–0.141:320.00–0.150:360.00–0.001:070.01–0.001:580.00–0.110:510.00–0.071:260.00–0.040:500.00–0.000:340.09–0.00
Chiarot–Johansson2:410.00–0.240:360.00–0.000:580.00–0.001:220.00–0.24
Hamonic–Chiarot0:490.00–0.030:500.16–0.000:550.11–0.00
Chiarot–Seider0:570.00–0.061:250.00–0.06
Seider–Johansson0:440.02–0.000:530.00–0.00
Chiarot–Bernard-Docker0:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndvan Riemsdyk FCompher FFinnie FLarkin FKasper FRaymond FKane FDeBrincat FAppleton FRasmussen FSoderblom FCopp FJohansson DHamonic DBernard-Docker DSeider DSandin-Pellikka DChiarot DGibson GLeonard FMcMichael FDowd FProtas FSourdif FWilson FStrome FBeauvillier FOvechkin FLapierre FDuhaime FFrank FChychrun Dvan Riemsdyk DCarlson DFehérváry DSandin DChisholm DLindgren G
DETWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2931:571:063:0964
John CarlsonWSH2727:251:013:3635
Jakob ChychrunWSH2726:581:003:0053
Dylan LarkinDET2224:381:072:2742
Martin FehérváryWSH2421:390:542:3008
Alex DeBrincatDET2021:281:042:0152
Tom WilsonWSH2421:130:531:3627
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2721:090:471:2126
Lucas RaymondDET2020:411:022:1342
Ben ChiarotDET2520:400:501:2414
Rasmus SandinWSH2320:040:522:0234
Albert JohanssonDET2519:160:461:4130
Patrick KaneDET2119:080:551:5652
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET2118:440:541:5122
Dylan StromeWSH2018:310:561:3041
Andrew CoppDET2118:170:521:4432
Nic DowdWSH2517:490:431:1722
Anthony BeauvillierWSH1917:210:551:3020
Justin SourdifWSH2217:100:471:2036
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2216:180:441:4513
Connor McMichaelWSH2216:170:441:1521
Alex OvechkinWSH1716:000:562:1340
Marco KasperDET2115:560:461:1531
J.T. CompherDET1915:070:481:3510
Ryan LeonardWSH2015:050:451:2940
Mason AppletonDET1813:560:461:0911
Travis HamonicDET1913:560:441:2721
James van RiemsdykDET1813:100:441:5040
Michael RasmussenDET1712:520:451:4332
Elmer SoderblomDET1411:290:491:4221
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET1511:200:451:0302
Emmitt FinnieDET1410:130:441:0410
Declan ChisholmWSH139:220:431:1500
Brandon DuhaimeWSH149:130:401:0713
Ethen FrankWSH138:480:411:0912
Hendrix LapierreWSH116:480:370:5412