Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Washington Capitals 4, Detroit Red Wings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.
56%
9%
10%
26%
DET winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 27:25 | 0.34 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 26:58 | 0.06 | 61.9% | +56.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:39 | 0.08 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.09 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:09 | 0.07 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.10 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.10 | 73.6% | +41.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.15 | 40.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.00 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.18 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.01 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.00 | 42.6% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:00 | 0.21 | 71.2% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:05 | 0.32 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:22 | 0.13 | 60.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.00 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:48 | 0.00 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:48 | 0.05 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.66 | −0.3 | 65:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 31:57 | 0.11 | 64.8% | +39.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:38 | 0.50 | 52.6% | +7.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 21:28 | 0.40 | 42.0% | +65.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.38 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:40 | 0.08 | 33.1% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:16 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.24 | 46.6% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:44 | 0.00 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.20 | 52.0% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.37 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.18 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.01 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.12 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 1.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:20 | 0.06 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:13 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.90 | −1.1 | 63:12 |