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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Winnipeg Jets 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Winnipeg Jets

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

TBL winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Salomonsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 0:44Shot by Moser, saved by Hellebuyck
  4. P1 1:34Shot by Salomonsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:46Shot by Carlile, saved by Hellebuyck
  6. P1 2:58Shot by Carlile, saved by Hellebuyck
  7. P1 4:26Shot by Lowry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 4:34Shot by Salomonsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:05Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hellebuyck
  10. P1 5:24Shot by Barron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 6:43Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 7:32Shot by McDonagh, saved by Hellebuyck
  13. P1 7:43Shot by McDonagh, saved by Hellebuyck
  14. P1 7:54Shot by Perfetti, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 8:24Shot by Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 8:27Moser: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser · WPG Scheifele, Connor, Vilardi, Samberg, Salomonsson

  17. P1 8:59Shot by Cirelli, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  18. P1 9:11Shot by Gourde, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  19. P1 12:21Shot by Perfetti, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 14:00Shot by Cirelli, saved by Hellebuyck
  21. P1 14:28Shot by Lowry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 14:58Goal by James (Raddysh, Moser)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Guentzel, Raddysh, Goncalves, Moser, James · WPG Toews, Samberg, Iafallo, Perfetti, Salomonsson

  23. P1 16:59Shot by Lowry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 18:56Shot by Stanley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:17Shot by James, saved by Hellebuyck
  28. P2 1:37Goal by Raddysh (Gourde, Girgensons)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser · WPG Schenn, Scheifele, Connor, Stanley, Vilardi

  29. P2 2:17DeMelo: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · WPG Toews, DeMelo, Morrissey, Iafallo, Perfetti

  30. P2 2:20Shot by Salomonsson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 2:47Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  32. P2 3:51Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  33. P2 4:02Shot by Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  34. P2 4:50Shot by Cernak, saved by Hellebuyck
  35. P2 7:06Shot by Crozier, saved by Hellebuyck
  36. P2 7:39Shot by Samberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 9:35Shot by Barron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 10:06Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 12:18Shot by Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 12:25Goal by Connor (Samberg, Scheifele)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser · WPG Scheifele, Connor, Vilardi, Samberg, Salomonsson

  41. P2 13:40Shot by McDonagh, saved by Hellebuyck
  42. P2 14:53Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hellebuyck
  43. P2 15:17Goal by Gourde (Kucherov, Raddysh)6v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Gourde, Guentzel, Raddysh, Moser, James · WPG Toews, Schenn, Stanley, Iafallo, Perfetti

  44. P2 16:25Shot by Carlile, saved by Hellebuyck
  45. P2 16:41Shot by Carlile, saved by Hellebuyck
  46. P2 16:58Shot by Salomonsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:17Shot by James, saved by Hellebuyck
  50. P3 1:02Shot by Paul, saved by Hellebuyck
  51. P3 2:34Shot by Perfetti, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 5:41Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hellebuyck
  53. P3 6:41Finley: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Bjorkstrand, Paul, Raddysh, Finley, Moser · WPG DeMelo, Stanley, Vilardi, Barron, Perfetti

  54. P3 8:23Shot by Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  55. P3 9:25Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · WPG Niederreiter, Samberg, Barron, Perfetti, Salomonsson

  56. P3 9:25Perfetti: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · WPG Niederreiter, Samberg, Barron, Perfetti, Salomonsson

  57. P3 9:33Shot by Paul, saved by Hellebuyck4v4
  58. P3 9:34Shot by Holmberg, saved by Hellebuyck4v4
  59. P3 11:05Shot by Hagel, saved by Hellebuyck4v4
  60. P3 12:26Shot by Goncalves, saved by Hellebuyck
  61. P3 13:36Shot by Morrissey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 13:49Shot by Moser, saved by Hellebuyck
  63. P3 13:53Shot by Moser, saved by Hellebuyck
  64. P3 13:59Shot by Cirelli, saved by Hellebuyck
  65. P3 14:17Shot by Paul, saved by Hellebuyck
  66. P3 14:33Shot by Carlile, saved by Hellebuyck
  67. P3 15:22Shot by Cernak, saved by Hellebuyck
  68. P3 15:58Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hellebuyck
  69. P3 16:10Shot by Salomonsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 16:56Shot by Holmberg, saved by Hellebuyck
  71. P3 18:52Goal by Kucherov (Gourde, Girgensons)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Moser · WPG Scheifele, Namestnikov, Connor, Stanley, Vilardi, Salomonsson

  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final