Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Winnipeg Jets 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

TBL winsWPG wins

Winnipeg Jets

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Josh MorrisseyD · #440000126:350.0351.8%0.0
Kyle ConnorLW · #81101−1522:280.4650.8%+13.5
Dylan SambergD · #540110121:260.0130.9%+13.5
Mark ScheifeleC · #55011−1021:200.0047.9%+13.5
Gabriel VilardiC · #13000−1020:060.2159.2%0.0
Dylan DeMeloD · #20000019:590.0155.7%0.0
Elias SalomonssonD · #57000−1619:400.1734.7%0.0
Logan StanleyD · #64000−3116:380.0041.0%0.0
Alex IafalloLW · #9000−2015:550.005.9%0.0
Jonathan ToewsC · #19000−2015:290.0013.6%0.0
Cole PerfettiC · #91000−2315:140.1738.2%0.0
Adam LowryC · #170000314:250.1433.5%0.0
Vladislav NamestnikovC · #7000−1113:250.0730.4%0.0
Nino NiederreiterRW · #620000113:000.1029.4%0.0
Luke SchennD · #5000−2011:480.0020.5%0.0
Morgan BarronC · #360000211:390.2075.9%0.0
Cole KoepkeLW · #45000009:200.1438.9%0.0
Tanner PearsonLW · #70000009:090.0242.6%0.0
Connor Hellebuyck#37L36333.9173.07+0.158:24

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Darren RaddyshD · #43123+3523:430.1654.3%+44.8
J.J. MoserD · #90011+3321:580.1856.6%+17.6
Brandon HagelLW · #380000120:480.0556.6%0.0
Ryan McDonaghD · #270000320:370.1253.1%0.0
Max CrozierD · #240000118:430.0471.2%0.0
Yanni GourdeC · #37123+2218:400.1738.7%+27.5
Erik CernakD · #810000217:520.0958.1%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28022+1016:510.1344.2%+13.7
Anthony CirelliC · #710000316:260.2756.2%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290000215:530.2938.7%0.0
Nikita KucherovRW · #86112+2215:220.9551.2%+14.1
Declan CarlileD · #670000515:130.1870.3%0.0
Jake GuentzelC · #59000+2115:000.2686.3%0.0
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #220000012:580.1449.6%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #200000312:040.1754.2%0.0
Dominic JamesC · #17101+2311:300.2790.9%+17.6
Gage GoncalvesC · #93000+1110:400.3693.2%0.0
Jack FinleyC · #620000010:150.0053.3%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88W24231.9581.71+0.759:27