Thu, Jan 29, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Winnipeg Jets 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.
79%
10%
TBL winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:35 | 0.03 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:28 | 0.46 | 50.8% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:26 | 0.01 | 30.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:20 | 0.00 | 47.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.21 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 | 0.01 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:40 | 0.17 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 5.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 13.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.17 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:25 | 0.14 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.07 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.10 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.20 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:20 | 0.14 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.02 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 3.07 | +0.1 | 58:24 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 23:43 | 0.16 | 54.3% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 21:58 | 0.18 | 56.6% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.05 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.12 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.04 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.17 | 38.7% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.09 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.13 | 44.2% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:26 | 0.27 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.29 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.95 | 51.2% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:13 | 0.18 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.26 | 86.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.14 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:04 | 0.17 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 11:30 | 0.27 | 90.9% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.36 | 93.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 1.71 | +0.7 | 59:27 |