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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 31, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Washington Capitals 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 78% of the time.

WSH winsCAR wins

Carolina Hurricanes

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jalen ChatfieldD · #5000+1023:090.0533.4%0.0
K'Andre MillerD · #19000−1322:430.1055.2%0.0
Jaccob SlavinD · #740000222:410.0829.8%0.0
Sean WalkerD · #260000022:100.1252.9%0.0
Sebastian AhoC · #20101+1219:250.2538.8%+14.5
Seth JarvisRW · #24000+1418:480.4239.7%0.0
Jordan MartinookLW · #48011−1016:000.0015.4%+9.2
Shayne GostisbehereD · #41010315:590.3847.2%+9.2
Jordan StaalC · #11011−1115:190.0015.2%+9.2
Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37000+1115:160.3849.7%0.0
Nikolaj EhlersLW · #27000−1114:580.1015.2%0.0
Jackson BlakeRW · #53000−2013:540.0835.5%0.0
Taylor HallLW · #71000−2013:410.2234.0%0.0
Logan StankovenC · #22000−1213:370.1335.9%0.0
Alexander NikishinD · #21000−1113:140.0436.8%0.0
Mark JankowskiLW · #77101+1112:420.3970.8%+15.8
Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82011+1112:260.0770.1%+15.8
William CarrierLW · #28011+1011:040.0259.1%+15.8
Frederik Andersen#31O42384.9054.90+0.961:42

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jakob ChychrunD · #6112+1628:020.5149.1%+44.5
John CarlsonD · #74011+2227:570.0474.2%+50.9
Dylan StromeC · #17101+1321:480.2550.3%+16.1
Tom WilsonRW · #43011+2121:240.0873.9%+28.4
Rasmus SandinD · #38000+1220:500.1370.9%0.0
Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21022+2319:150.6566.5%+44.5
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57000−1118:460.0158.5%0.0
Justin SourdifC · #34101+1518:400.8974.3%+50.9
Alex OvechkinLW · #80000318:250.3345.4%0.0
Ryan LeonardRW · #9000−1116:410.3650.6%0.0
Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72000−1316:180.3440.6%0.0
Ethen FrankRW · #53011+1015:470.0573.8%+50.9
Nic DowdC · #260000214:130.1928.3%0.0
Declan ChisholmD · #47000−1110:040.0747.3%0.0
Dylan McIlrathD · #52000−129:150.0823.1%0.0
Brandon DuhaimeRW · #22000−118:590.0677.7%0.0
Sonny MilanoLW · #15011−128:290.0772.1%+8.7
Hendrix LapierreC · #29101−146:130.7879.5%+8.7
Clay Stevenson#33W22193.8642.84−0.261:42