Sat, Jan 31, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Washington Capitals 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 78% of the time.
72%
16%
WSH winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:09 | 0.05 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:43 | 0.10 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.08 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.12 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.25 | 38.8% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:48 | 0.42 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.00 | 15.4% | +9.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.38 | 47.2% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 15.2% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.38 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.10 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.08 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.22 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.13 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.04 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.39 | 70.8% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.07 | 70.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.02 | 59.1% | +15.8 |
| O | 42 | 38 | 4 | .905 | 4.90 | +0.9 | 61:42 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 28:02 | 0.51 | 49.1% | +44.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 27:57 | 0.04 | 74.2% | +50.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:48 | 0.25 | 50.3% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.08 | 73.9% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.13 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.65 | 66.5% | +44.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.01 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:40 | 0.89 | 74.3% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.33 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.36 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.34 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.05 | 73.8% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.19 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.07 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:15 | 0.08 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.06 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 8:29 | 0.07 | 72.1% | +8.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 6:13 | 0.78 | 79.5% | +8.7 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.84 | −0.2 | 61:42 |