Sat, Jan 31, 2026·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Vancouver Canucks 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 76% of the time.
17%
70%
VAN winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 28:10 | 0.21 | 65.3% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:40 | 0.23 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:44 | 0.12 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 23:29 | 0.15 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 22:30 | 1.05 | 76.3% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:29 | 0.49 | 87.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.31 | 75.1% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:03 | 0.87 | 86.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.09 | 73.7% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.21 | 88.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:33 | 0.35 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.11 | 42.1% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:02 | 0.08 | 38.2% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.11 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:40 | 0.00 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.06 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.05 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.58 | +0.6 | 65:00 |
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:38 | 0.02 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.01 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:16 | 0.07 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:11 | 0.05 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.49 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.15 | 12.3% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:30 | 0.02 | 10.8% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 0.53 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.03 | 27.7% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.12 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.16 | 23.3% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 29.9% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.20 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.27 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.18 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.15 | 47.8% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.15 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 41 | 39 | 2 | .951 | 4.49 | +2.5 | 65:00 |