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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 2, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Ottawa Senators 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 88% of the time.

PIT winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Cousins–Amadio–PintoGiroux–Batherson–StützleTkachuk–Cozens–GreigCousins–Amadio–GreigEller–Zetterlund–HallidayEller–Zetterlund–PintoZetterlund–Batherson–StützleEller–Zetterlund–GreigSanderson–ZubJensen–ChabotSpence–KlevenChabot–ZubSpence–Sanderson
Malkin–Novak–Chinakhov1:420.00–0.171:090.00–0.131:160.28–0.190:480.10–0.320:360.18–0.001:150.00–0.123:580.01–0.462:420.46–0.172:050.00–0.38
Crosby–Rakell–Mantha2:280.00–0.090:590.00–1.160:340.01–0.051:120.00–0.002:080.00–1.252:170.01–0.050:310.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Acciari–Dewar–Lizotte1:590.00–0.020:550.03–0.071:100.00–0.000:340.35–0.000:320.00–0.002:310.03–0.022:480.35–0.07
Crosby–Rakell–Brazeau1:380.00–0.181:090.00–0.001:010.01–0.003:370.01–0.071:040.00–0.020:310.00–0.01
Brazeau–McGroarty–Kindel1:550.00–0.001:100.00–0.001:490.00–0.000:580.01–0.002:020.00–0.00
Mantha–McGroarty–Kindel2:230.68–0.000:460.00–0.091:070.00–0.001:040.47–0.001:350.00–0.21
Karlsson–Wotherspoon0:380.00–0.072:180.47–1.164:020.00–0.360:430.35–0.003:360.00–1.334:030.48–0.261:260.35–0.000:320.00–0.00
Clifton–Solovyov2:480.00–0.172:030.22–0.101:040.00–0.200:320.00–0.120:360.00–0.022:130.00–0.022:470.00–0.213:570.00–0.51
Kulak–Shea2:450.00–0.032:070.03–0.074:210.02–0.071:370.03–0.022:290.00–0.08
Karlsson–Kulak2:450.00–0.251:030.01–0.004:220.01–0.482:220.01–0.07
Wotherspoon–Shea0:340.00–0.081:030.28–0.070:420.01–0.071:200.46–0.001:170.00–0.08
Karlsson–Shea0:360.00–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBrazeau FRakell FCrosby FChinakhov FNovak FMalkin FDewar FLizotte FAcciari FKindel FMcGroarty FMantha FWotherspoon DKarlsson DShea DKulak DClifton DSolovyov DSilovs GTkachuk FCozens FGreig FGiroux FStützle FBatherson FPinto FCousins FAmadio FEller FHalliday FZetterlund FZub DSanderson DJensen DChabot DSpence DKleven DUllmark G
PITOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake SandersonOTT2928:020:581:5455
Erik KarlssonPIT2327:201:113:1454
Artem ZubOTT2922:340:471:4535
Brett KulakPIT2122:011:031:4544
Tim StützleOTT2420:460:521:5280
Shane PintoOTT2620:450:481:2046
Thomas ChabotOTT2420:410:521:3531
Ryan SheaPIT2020:001:001:5506
Sidney CrosbyPIT1919:351:023:1132
Rickard RakellPIT2019:010:572:2931
Michael AmadioOTT2318:590:501:4822
Parker WotherspoonPIT2518:490:451:3535
Drake BathersonOTT2217:120:471:3080
Ridly GreigOTT2417:090:431:2013
Anthony ManthaPIT1616:471:032:3021
Brady TkachukOTT2116:310:471:5340
Jordan SpenceOTT2116:310:471:3140
Dylan CozensOTT1916:200:521:5430
Ben KindelPIT2115:520:451:1412
Connor CliftonPIT1915:520:501:2504
Evgeni MalkinPIT1815:510:532:3021
Nick CousinsOTT2315:390:411:2113
Blake LizottePIT2114:290:411:07012
Justin BrazeauPIT1614:280:541:3431
Claude GirouxOTT2314:250:381:2044
Nick JensenOTT1814:140:471:3711
Connor DewarPIT1912:510:411:1509
Tyler KlevenOTT1812:370:421:1421
Ilya SolovyovPIT1712:310:441:1801
Noel AcciariPIT1612:190:461:1805
Egor ChinakhovPIT1612:120:461:1600
Tommy NovakPIT1511:520:471:2511
Rutger McGroartyPIT1310:370:491:1311
Fabian ZetterlundOTT149:330:411:0640
Lars EllerOTT179:160:330:5934
Stephen HallidayOTT96:460:451:2030