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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 2, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Gridin, saved by Woll
  3. P1 0:35Goal by Nylander (Tavares)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Huberdeau, Weegar, Frost, Kuznetsov, Gridin · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Stecher, Maccelli

  4. P1 1:38Shot by Zary, saved by Woll
  5. P1 5:01Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Woll
  6. P1 5:25Shot by Coronato, saved by Woll
  7. P1 5:41Shot by Zary, saved by Woll
  8. P1 7:58Shot by Coronato, saved by Woll
  9. P1 8:51Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Wolf
  10. P1 12:21Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Woll
  11. P1 12:31Shot by Roy, saved by Wolf
  12. P1 0:00Period end
  13. P2 0:00Period start
  14. P2 0:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Wolf
  15. P2 2:03Shot by Kadri, saved by Woll
  16. P2 3:38Shot by Benoit, saved by Wolf
  17. P2 6:35Shot by Laughton, saved by Wolf
  18. P2 7:17Goal by Maccelli (Nylander)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Huberdeau, Weegar, Frost, Kuznetsov, Gridin · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Myers, Maccelli

  19. P2 7:59Shot by Coronato, saved by Woll
  20. P2 8:06Shot by Backlund, saved by Woll
  21. P2 8:11Woll: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Whitecloud, Bahl, Sharangovich, Coronato · TOR McCabe, Domi, Carlo, Matthews, McMann

  22. P2 8:11Backlund: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Whitecloud, Bahl, Sharangovich, Coronato · TOR McCabe, Domi, Carlo, Matthews, McMann

  23. P2 8:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Wolf4v4
  24. P2 8:35Shot by Stecher, saved by Wolf4v4
  25. P2 9:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Wolf4v4
  26. P2 9:10Goal by Stecher (Nylander, Matthews)4v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Whitecloud, Farabee, Bahl · TOR McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Stecher

  27. P2 12:55Shot by Coronato, saved by Woll
  28. P2 13:15Goal by Kadri (Farabee, Hanley)+8 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Hanley, Farabee, Zary, Parekh · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Nylander, Maccelli

  29. P2 14:10Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Woll
  30. P2 14:13Shot by Backlund, saved by Woll
  31. P2 15:37Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Woll
  32. P2 15:46Goal by Farabee (Kadri, Weegar)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Weegar, Farabee, Zary, Kuznetsov · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Stecher, Maccelli

  33. P2 17:11Shot by Myers, saved by Wolf
  34. P2 17:14Shot by Robertson, saved by Wolf
  35. P2 17:46Knies: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Weegar, Hanley, Lomberg, Pospisil, Klapka · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Roy, Robertson, Knies

  36. P2 18:07Shot by Laughton, saved by Wolf5v4
  37. P2 19:06Shot by Gridin, saved by Woll5v4
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 1:06Shot by Gridin, saved by Woll
  41. P3 4:16Shot by Stecher, saved by Wolf
  42. P3 4:26Shot by Farabee, saved by Woll
  43. P3 5:13Shot by Benoit, saved by Wolf
  44. P3 5:36Shot by Nylander, saved by Wolf
  45. P3 5:52Shot by Kadri, saved by Woll
  46. P3 6:05Shot by Nylander, saved by Wolf
  47. P3 6:48Shot by Stecher, saved by Wolf
  48. P3 7:31Shot by Coronato, saved by Woll
  49. P3 8:47Shot by Maccelli, saved by Wolf
  50. P3 10:07Shot by Gridin, saved by Woll
  51. P3 11:15Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Woll
  52. P3 12:07Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Woll
  53. P3 13:56Shot by Bahl, saved by Woll
  54. P3 14:12Shot by Klapka, saved by Woll
  55. P3 15:12Shot by Parekh, saved by Woll
  56. P3 15:55Shot by Coronato, saved by Woll
  57. P3 16:15Shot by Coronato, saved by Woll
  58. P3 17:16Shot by Domi, saved by Wolf
  59. P3 18:11Shot by Frost, saved by Woll
  60. P3 19:35Goal by McMann (Laughton, Carlo)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Farabee, Sharangovich, Coronato, Parekh, Gridin · TOR Laughton, McCabe, Carlo, Matthews, McMann

  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final