Mon, Feb 2, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
30%
10%
10%
51%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:46 | 0.00 | 19.1% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.05 | 18.7% | +4.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:08 | 0.30 | 37.0% | +8.7 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:56 | 0.03 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.01 | 54.3% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.34 | 53.7% | +15.7 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.05 | 74.9% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.18 | 63.4% | +39.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.12 | 66.7% | +14.6 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.16 | 16.4% | +8.7 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.09 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.73 | 26.4% | +4.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.07 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.02 | 19.8% | 0.0 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.30 | 32.5% | +4.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.13 | 45.1% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.07 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.01 | 86.6% | 0.0 |
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.01 | 50.4% | +16.3 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:48 | 0.01 | 79.8% | 0.0 |
 Zayne ParekhD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.02 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 19:27 | 0.53 | 81.2% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.13 | 73.6% | +24.4 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.12 | 79.1% | 0.0 |
 Yan KuznetsovD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.06 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Joel HanleyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.01 | 38.0% | +8.1 |
 Matvei GridinRW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 16:24 | 0.22 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.28 | 79.1% | 0.0 |
 Joel FarabeeLW · #86 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.22 | 68.7% | +24.4 |
 Morgan FrostC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.05 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Connor ZaryC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.14 | 68.2% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.16 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Adam KlapkaRW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:43 | 0.06 | 39.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.02 | 17.0% | 0.0 |
 Martin PospisilC · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:59 | 0.00 | 8.0% | 0.0 |
 Dustin Wolf#32 | L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.88 | −1.1 | 58:41 |