Mon, Feb 2, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
30%
10%
10%
51%
CGY winsTOR wins
Every shot
Model-basedFilter by period or danger, and pick out rebounds and rush chances.
CGY attack the right-hand net, TOR the left. Shapes show the outcome; size shows the chance quality.
Goal Saved MissedBigger marks were better chances (higher xG).
CGYTOR