Mon, Feb 2, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
30%
10%
10%
51%
CGY winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli | Domi–Matthews–McMann | Roy–Robertson–Knies | Jarnkrok–Laughton–Lorentz | Jarnkrok–Laughton–Maccelli | McCabe–Carlo | Myers–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | Ekman-Larsson–Myers | Stecher–Benoit | Carlo–Stecher | McCabe–Stecher | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backlund–Sharangovich–Coronato | 7:360.63–0.12 | 1:400.09–0.04 | 0:320.17–0.00 | 3:470.39–0.00 | 3:430.17–0.08 | 3:120.15–0.09 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.18–0.00 | |||||
| Huberdeau–Frost–Gridin | 6:490.19–0.45 | 2:580.13–0.09 | 3:210.17–0.03 | 3:110.04–0.05 | 2:510.11–0.28 | 0:510.00–0.27 | 1:030.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Kadri–Farabee–Zary | 2:470.20–0.18 | 1:350.08–0.01 | 2:130.14–0.06 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 2:540.00–0.08 | 1:560.01–0.00 | 3:290.40–0.16 | ||||||
| Lomberg–Pospisil–Klapka | 1:330.00–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 3:180.01–0.12 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 2:550.01–0.15 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.11 | |||||
| Kadri–Farabee–Klapka | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:020.06–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Whitecloud–Bahl | 3:460.08–0.05 | 7:590.62–0.11 | 1:160.14–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 6:070.48–0.07 | 4:170.05–0.05 | 4:090.22–0.05 | 0:340.18–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||
| Weegar–Kuznetsov | 6:240.21–0.63 | 2:240.09–0.00 | 1:430.09–0.06 | 2:140.10–0.00 | 3:380.16–0.08 | 2:400.00–0.07 | 3:380.30–0.26 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.27 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||
| Hanley–Parekh | 1:540.10–0.11 | 4:230.16–0.14 | 4:100.00–0.12 | 3:540.09–0.00 | 3:560.00–0.12 | 3:330.07–0.15 | |||||||
| Weegar–Parekh | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:440.05–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Whitecloud–Kuznetsov | 1:080.02–0.03 | 1:180.02–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Kuznetsov–Parekh | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Weegar–Hanley | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.04 | 1:090.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake McCabeTOR | 34 | 23:46 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 3 | 6 |
 Brandon CarloTOR | 33 | 21:19 | 0:39 | 1:38 | 4 | 6 |
 Kevin BahlCGY | 26 | 20:59 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 3 | 3 |
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 26 | 20:59 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Zach WhitecloudCGY | 26 | 20:48 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 29 | 20:08 | 0:42 | 1:36 | 2 | 4 |
 Zayne ParekhCGY | 24 | 20:05 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 7 | 0 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 21 | 19:27 | 0:56 | 2:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 21 | 19:15 | 0:55 | 1:31 | 2 | 1 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 26 | 18:56 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 0 | 4 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 22 | 18:49 | 0:51 | 2:18 | 2 | 4 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 30 | 18:31 | 0:37 | 1:20 | 3 | 4 |
 Yan KuznetsovCGY | 26 | 18:20 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 21 | 17:33 | 0:50 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 24 | 17:29 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 0 | 4 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 17:00 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 3 | 4 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 16:45 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 3 | 4 |
 Joel HanleyCGY | 22 | 16:36 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 4 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 16:35 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 Matvei GridinCGY | 19 | 16:24 | 0:52 | 1:15 | 6 | 1 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 22 | 16:16 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 3 | 4 |
 Joel FarabeeCGY | 20 | 15:59 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 3 | 1 |
 Morgan FrostCGY | 20 | 15:53 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 6 | 2 |
 Nicolas RoyTOR | 16 | 15:16 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 0 | 3 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 21 | 14:54 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 3 | 1 |
 Connor ZaryCGY | 19 | 14:46 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 1 | 1 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 17 | 14:45 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 0 | 4 |
 Max DomiTOR | 18 | 14:28 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 18 | 14:26 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 5 | 1 |
 Scott LaughtonTOR | 19 | 14:06 | 0:45 | 2:02 | 0 | 6 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 16 | 12:15 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 0 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 14 | 11:21 | 0:49 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 16 | 10:53 | 0:41 | 0:57 | 0 | 4 |
 Adam KlapkaCGY | 14 | 10:43 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan LombergCGY | 13 | 10:35 | 0:49 | 1:05 | 0 | 0 |
 Martin PospisilCGY | 14 | 8:59 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 0 | 0 |