Tue, Feb 3, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Ottawa Senators 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.
23%
8%
62%
CAR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 2 | 23:15 | 0.12 | 53.7% | +44.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.01 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.03 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.32 | 83.2% | +44.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.14 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.33 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 18:35 | 0.19 | 57.9% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.48 | 69.6% | +31.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:28 | 0.39 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.06 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.07 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.11 | 64.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:58 | 0.65 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.39 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:57 | 0.09 | 86.5% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:12 | 0.11 | 86.5% | +14.8 |
| L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 2.05 | −1.9 | 58:38 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:52 | 0.04 | 34.8% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.03 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.01 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.28 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.08 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.12 | 29.6% | +42.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.35 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 37.9% | +42.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.11 | 37.7% | +56.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.14 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.05 | 36.2% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.05 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.24 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 15:50 | 0.58 | 39.7% | +39.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.01 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:34 | 0.19 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.48 | +0.5 | 60:00 |