Wed, Feb 4, 2026·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Montréal Canadiens 5, Winnipeg Jets 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 60% of the time.
33%
54%
WPG winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:50 | 0.40 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.01 | 40.5% | +18.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.12 | 46.5% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.05 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.55 | 56.6% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.06 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:25 | 0.77 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.01 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:27 | 0.22 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 15:21 | 1.42 | 32.3% | +33.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:18 | 1.21 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 12.4% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 13:44 | 0.21 | 70.6% | +18.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.92 | 35.1% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.01 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 30.4% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 42.8% | +4.2 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 5.16 | +4.2 | 60:00 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 27:12 | 0.24 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 24:10 | 0.59 | 41.2% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:43 | 0.15 | 35.9% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:29 | 0.04 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.53 | 70.7% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 20:06 | 0.93 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.15 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.03 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.08 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.26 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.11 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0.70 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:04 | 1.02 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.19 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:58 | 0.09 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:18 | 0.05 | 16.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.91 | −1.1 | 54:30 |