Wed, Feb 4, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Edmonton Oilers 3, Calgary Flames 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 55% of the time.
47%
8%
37%
CGY winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 26:30 | 0.57 | 42.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 26:25 | 0.08 | 42.0% | +59.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 25:27 | 0.47 | 63.5% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:41 | 0.15 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.38 | 40.1% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:50 | 0.37 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:12 | 0.24 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.12 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.05 | 55.6% | +32.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:39 | 0.26 | 82.0% | +32.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.12 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.05 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:52 | 0.21 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:39 | 0.12 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:32 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 4:24 | 0.14 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 3.12 | −0.9 | 58:32 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:36 | 0.00 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 24:37 | 0.16 | 58.3% | +48.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:14 | 0.07 | 47.0% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:33 | 0.02 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.53 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.89 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.21 | 57.3% | +48.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.27 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:36 | 0.22 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.20 | 43.6% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.25 | 50.6% | +11.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:39 | 0.19 | 59.9% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:53 | 0.04 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:04 | 0.00 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:48 | 0.31 | 63.5% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:45 | 0.31 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 3.33 | +0.3 | 59:56 |