Thu, Feb 5, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 57% of the time.
35%
8%
9%
48%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 25:58 | 0.30 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:05 | 0.03 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:49 | 0.00 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.23 | 42.7% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.05 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:42 | 0.17 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.00 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.42 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15:01 | 0.63 | 73.8% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:57 | 0.06 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:40 | 0.35 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.25 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:25 | 0.02 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.13 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:38 | 0.17 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 10:23 | 0.14 | 61.2% | +0.2 |
| L | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 2.45 | −2.6 | 45:59 | |
| – | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 0.16 | −0.8 | 13:51 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:13 | 0.05 | 28.4% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:59 | 0.00 | 40.9% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.13 | 51.9% | +7.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.05 | 32.2% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 18:20 | 0.37 | 46.5% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.21 | 41.8% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 17:52 | 0.39 | 28.2% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 17:44 | 0.41 | 60.3% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.15 | 16.5% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.00 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.50 | 49.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.13 | 52.8% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.01 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 33.5% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.17 | 53.7% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:23 | 0.02 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:42 | 0.00 | 9.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:13 | 0.02 | 17.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 33 | 1 | .971 | 2.96 | +2.0 | 59:56 |