Thu, Feb 5, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 57% of the time.
35%
8%
9%
48%
TBL winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Reinhart–Luostarinen–Lundell | Greer–Schwindt–Vilmanis | Verhaeghe–Bennett–Tkachuk | Kunin–Boqvist–Samoskevich | Schwindt–Samoskevich–Vilmanis | Mikkola–Balinskis | Petry–Forsling | Sebrango–Hovorka | Petry–Balinskis | Forsling–Mikkola | Balinskis–Hovorka | Petry–Sebrango | Petry–Mikkola | Sebrango–Balinskis | Forsling–Balinskis | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Hagel | 6:250.01–0.16 | 0:510.00–0.04 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 2:200.10–0.05 | 3:450.01–0.05 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:440.02–0.00 | 2:110.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | 1:350.01–0.00 | 5:310.36–0.27 | 2:440.16–0.03 | 1:390.20–0.22 | 1:160.01–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–James | 0:420.21–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.19 | 2:090.00–0.11 | 2:030.00–0.21 | 0:480.21–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Sabourin–Douglas–Finley | 2:500.00–0.13 | 0:330.02–0.09 | 0:300.00–0.13 | 2:180.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Sabourin–Goncalves–James | 1:260.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||
| Girgensons–Bjorkstrand–Holmberg | 1:310.07–0.14 | 1:230.08–0.14 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Gourde–Hagel–Holmberg | 0:410.00–0.05 | 0:420.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||
| Girgensons–Sabourin–Douglas | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 3:200.21–0.15 | 2:180.00–0.00 | 4:020.17–0.19 | 2:250.00–0.22 | 4:500.16–0.31 | 1:480.02–0.28 | 1:130.21–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.03 | 1:130.00–0.14 | 1:280.00–0.11 | 0:570.00–0.00 | |||
| Raddysh–Moser | 5:420.02–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:370.20–0.32 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 5:110.21–0.33 | 1:210.01–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.00 | 0:530.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Hedman–Carlile | 3:440.00–0.32 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:470.08–0.11 | 2:170.00–0.34 | 0:470.09–0.00 | 2:120.01–0.00 | 0:580.08–0.00 | 0:440.07–0.00 | |||||||
| Raddysh–Carlile | 0:510.02–0.00 | 0:480.10–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Moser–Carlile | 0:310.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Raddysh | |||||||||||||||
| Cernak–Carlile | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Uvis BalinskisFLA | 28 | 25:58 | 0:56 | 3:04 | 8 | 2 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 30 | 23:13 | 0:46 | 1:43 | 2 | 6 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 29 | 22:59 | 0:48 | 2:03 | 2 | 6 |
 Jeff PetryFLA | 27 | 22:05 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 2 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 21 | 20:49 | 0:59 | 3:30 | 7 | 1 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 21 | 20:47 | 0:59 | 3:31 | 7 | 1 |
 Niko MikkolaFLA | 26 | 20:45 | 0:48 | 1:57 | 5 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 22 | 19:37 | 0:54 | 1:57 | 2 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 20 | 19:28 | 0:58 | 1:57 | 2 | 3 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 21 | 18:42 | 0:53 | 2:09 | 4 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 25 | 18:20 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 17:54 | 0:57 | 2:13 | 1 | 4 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 25 | 17:52 | 0:43 | 1:43 | 2 | 2 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 23 | 17:44 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 21 | 17:10 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 5 | 2 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 19 | 17:07 | 0:54 | 2:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Declan CarlileTBL | 23 | 16:42 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 17 | 16:02 | 0:57 | 2:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 18 | 16:01 | 0:53 | 2:35 | 3 | 1 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 18 | 15:23 | 0:51 | 2:03 | 3 | 1 |
 Cole SchwindtFLA | 21 | 15:18 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Mackie SamoskevichFLA | 20 | 15:01 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 3 | 1 |
 Sandis VilmanisFLA | 20 | 14:57 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 17 | 14:55 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 0 | 5 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 17 | 14:16 | 0:50 | 1:50 | 1 | 4 |
 Matthew TkachukFLA | 16 | 13:40 | 0:51 | 2:38 | 3 | 1 |
 A.J. GreerFLA | 20 | 13:36 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 20 | 13:15 | 0:40 | 2:03 | 3 | 1 |
 Donovan SebrangoFLA | 19 | 12:25 | 0:39 | 2:04 | 0 | 2 |
 Luke KuninFLA | 17 | 12:13 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 5 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 16 | 11:38 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 2 | 1 |
 Mikulas HovorkaFLA | 17 | 11:27 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Jesper BoqvistFLA | 16 | 10:23 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 1 | 1 |
 Scott SabourinTBL | 17 | 9:23 | 0:33 | 1:01 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack FinleyTBL | 13 | 6:42 | 0:31 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Curtis DouglasTBL | 11 | 6:13 | 0:34 | 0:53 | 0 | 0 |