Wed, Feb 25, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 71% of the time.
64%
22%
WSH winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:25 | 0.49 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:20 | 0.08 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.00 | 47.9% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.09 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.13 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:50 | 0.24 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:10 | 0.22 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.19 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.24 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.38 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.22 | 69.3% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.34 | 54.7% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.06 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.00 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:43 | 0.18 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 3.25 | +1.3 | 57:45 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:14 | 0.06 | 46.4% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.03 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.28 | 63.7% | +26.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.26 | 69.2% | +41.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:25 | 0.37 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:07 | 0.64 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:07 | 0.41 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.24 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.24 | 80.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.58 | 34.1% | +45.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.13 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 65.8% | +41.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.07 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.25 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.25 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.13 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:51 | 0.21 | 44.1% | +26.8 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.86 | +1.9 | 60:00 |