Thu, Feb 26, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Detroit Red Wings 2, Ottawa Senators 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 73% of the time.
65%
9%
18%
OTT winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:48 | 0.04 | 32.0% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:33 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:46 | 0.02 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 23:11 | 0.36 | 37.7% | +71.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:42 | 0.32 | 40.6% | +71.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.15 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.16 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:43 | 0.15 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.22 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.02 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.07 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.02 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:35 | 0.14 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.03 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 3.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:37 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:29 | 0.00 | 2.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 3.01 | +2.0 | 61:47 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:39 | 0.17 | 63.7% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:05 | 0.04 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.13 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.45 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.03 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.00 | 65.2% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.50 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:10 | 0.29 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.38 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.19 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.37 | 65.7% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.00 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.04 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.17 | 83.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.11 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:19 | 0.15 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.00 | 96.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 1.71 | −0.3 | 61:50 |