Sat, Feb 28, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal
Washington Capitals 2, Montréal Canadiens 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 53% of the time.
45%
8%
39%
MTL winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −5 | 2 | 23:20 | 0.28 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.06 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.02 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.42 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.00 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.57 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:05 | 0.21 | 86.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.67 | 83.7% | +2.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 6 | 15:30 | 0.53 | 64.7% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.03 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.07 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:09 | 0.16 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.01 | 46.4% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.18 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.05 | 51.0% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.53 | 6.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:43 | 0.02 | 11.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 3.04 | −1.0 | 58:52 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:48 | 0.09 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 3 | 24:04 | 0.22 | 40.0% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.06 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.93 | 76.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:01 | 0.11 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.00 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.06 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 16:19 | 0.93 | 74.9% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 2.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.24 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:23 | 0.44 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.00 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 53.0% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.09 | 70.0% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:44 | 0.62 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.10 | 61.7% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.07 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:08 | 0.00 | 63.8% | +17.3 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 3.82 | +1.8 | 60:00 |