Sun, Mar 1, 2026·Honda Center, Anaheim
Calgary Flames 2, Anaheim Ducks 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 54% of the time.
39%
46%
ANA winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:08 | 0.08 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:28 | 0.00 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:49 | 0.05 | 44.2% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.08 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:25 | 0.21 | 52.8% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19:37 | 0.92 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:14 | 0.31 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:11 | 0.56 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.13 | 28.5% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.23 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.20 | 32.7% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:39 | 0.81 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.16 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.03 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.03 | 45.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:26 | 0.00 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:57 | 0.10 | 62.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.05 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.72 | +1.7 | 65:00 |
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 28:06 | 0.04 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:07 | 0.48 | 46.8% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.08 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.30 | 45.4% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:56 | 0.40 | 66.5% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.15 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 20:33 | 1.03 | 71.8% | +42.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:41 | 0.24 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:11 | 0.31 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.12 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:14 | 0.27 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.01 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.13 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:15 | 0.02 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.13 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.01 | 7.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.94 | +1.9 | 65:00 |