Tue, Mar 3, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 56% of the time.
48%
8%
36%
BOS winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:38 | 0.37 | 51.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.10 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21:18 | 0.39 | 44.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.05 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:05 | 0.28 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.04 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.09 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:00 | 0.52 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:31 | 0.33 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:16 | 0.08 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:03 | 0.25 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.22 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 | 0.23 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:46 | 0.22 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.04 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:04 | 0.17 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:26 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.97 | +1.0 | 58:01 |
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:13 | 0.08 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:37 | 0.11 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:49 | 0.28 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.25 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:33 | 0.22 | 48.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:03 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.82 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.19 | 27.5% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.13 | 44.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.36 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.10 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:32 | 0.31 | 57.2% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:00 | 0.11 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.16 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.07 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.41 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.09 | 64.5% | +14.9 |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 3.38 | +2.4 | 60:00 |