Tue, Mar 3, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Vegas Golden Knights 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
46%
8%
39%
BUF winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Shea TheodoreD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:29 | 0.25 | 44.8% | +7.2 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:11 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:19 | 0.08 | 41.4% | +7.2 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:48 | 0.41 | 49.2% | +13.5 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:36 | 0.08 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.03 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Reilly SmithRW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:04 | 0.25 | 43.5% | +13.5 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.08 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
 Braeden BowmanRW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.96 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:41 | 0.15 | 35.9% | +7.2 |
 Kaedan KorczakD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.03 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.09 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
 Colton SissonsC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.10 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.28 | 61.2% | 0.0 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.58 | 54.9% | 0.0 |
 Cole ReinhardtLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:01 | 0.19 | 60.0% | 0.0 |
 Raphael LavoieC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:34 | 0.05 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon SaadLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:14 | 0.07 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Akira Schmid#40 | L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 3.46 | +0.5 | 58:29 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 25:50 | 0.01 | 64.8% | +20.3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 25:15 | 0.70 | 73.0% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:54 | 0.04 | 48.9% | +13.4 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.15 | 34.6% | +7.5 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:04 | 0.14 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.14 | 25.7% | +7.5 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.28 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.38 | 76.9% | +12.8 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.17 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:05 | 0.81 | 72.5% | 0.0 |
 Noah OstlundC · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.12 | 64.8% | +13.4 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.45 | 82.6% | +12.8 |
 Michael KesselringD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:19 | 0.28 | 70.5% | 0.0 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.03 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:46 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:57 | 0.16 | 43.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:34 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 |
 Alex Lyon#34 | W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 3.67 | +1.7 | 60:00 |