Wed, Mar 4, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 78% of the time.
73%
16%
NJD winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 26:28 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 24:57 | 0.81 | 36.8% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.16 | 29.2% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.03 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.05 | 46.6% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.01 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.07 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.11 | 31.2% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 29.2% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:45 | 0.60 | 23.1% | +29.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.26 | 52.1% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.25 | 24.3% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.08 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.12 | 52.9% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:33 | 0.34 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:21 | 0.09 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 47 | 44 | 3 | .936 | 5.06 | +2.1 | 65:00 |
New Jersey Devils
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:15 | 0.20 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 24:17 | 0.48 | 70.5% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:44 | 0.49 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 22:11 | 0.20 | 60.4% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.16 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:31 | 0.27 | 70.4% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 19:19 | 0.73 | 77.8% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.04 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:49 | 0.48 | 78.4% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:16 | 0.78 | 47.3% | +35.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.09 | 48.1% | +53.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.05 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.04 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.51 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.25 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:16 | 0.24 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:52 | 0.06 | 65.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.98 | 0.0 | 65:00 |