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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 4, 2026·Prudential Center, Newark

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New Jersey Devils 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 78% of the time.

NJD winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NJD forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nylander–Matthews–CowanTavares–Domi–KniesJoshua–Roy–MaccelliJarnkrok–Lorentz–RobertsonNylander–Roy–MaccelliNylander–Matthews–MaccelliMcCabe–StecherRielly–CarloMyers–BenoitRielly–McCabe
Meier–Hischier–Mercer4:500.63–0.101:510.31–0.000:490.00–0.051:360.13–0.040:420.00–0.004:060.36–0.104:320.60–0.041:460.01–0.00
Bratt–Glass–Hameenaho1:280.07–0.133:040.17–0.002:050.28–0.050:340.00–0.071:270.03–0.162:140.22–0.003:570.28–0.05
Brown–Hughes–Gritsyuk1:040.00–0.082:190.00–0.343:280.13–0.114:200.18–0.231:340.07–0.211:230.07–0.11
Bjugstad–Cotter–Tsyplakov0:560.05–0.001:230.00–0.001:490.00–0.081:230.00–0.001:170.05–0.001:290.00–0.08
Meier–Hughes–Gritsyuk0:380.07–0.001:030.00–0.00
Bratt–Glass–Hughes0:370.28–0.000:360.00–0.001:180.28–0.00
Hamilton–Siegenthaler2:220.00–0.135:590.59–0.132:100.28–0.051:030.02–0.040:330.01–0.014:260.15–0.324:320.47–0.104:130.39–0.000:500.01–0.01
Dillon–Nemec2:390.39–0.130:420.00–0.022:170.00–0.052:380.18–0.000:480.00–0.073:310.28–0.022:440.19–0.092:560.00–0.05
Kovacevic–Hughes2:530.22–0.041:530.16–0.002:070.07–0.000:570.00–0.232:360.08–0.162:420.14–0.032:390.15–0.08
Hughes–Nemec1:030.09–0.000:500.28–0.190:360.00–0.002:040.38–0.000:580.00–0.00
Dillon–Kovacevic2:000.23–0.001:440.30–0.000:430.00–0.00
Hamilton–Hughes1:010.06–0.000:500.06–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndBrown FGritsyuk FHughes FHischier FMercer FMeier FGlass FHameenaho FBratt FBjugstad FCotter FTsyplakov FHamilton DSiegenthaler DKovacevic DHughes DDillon DNemec DMarkstrom GMatthews FCowan FNylander FKnies FTavares FDomi FRoy FMaccelli FJoshua FRobertson FLorentz FJarnkrok FMcCabe DStecher DRielly DCarlo DBenoit DMyers DStolarz G
NJDTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dougie HamiltonNJD2827:150:581:5163
Jake McCabeTOR3026:280:532:0316
Auston MatthewsTOR2824:570:532:0854
Nico HischierNJD2624:170:561:3965
William NylanderTOR2522:510:551:3361
Jack HughesNJD2422:440:572:0062
Morgan RiellyTOR2722:350:501:4341
Luke HughesNJD2822:110:481:4252
Troy StecherTOR2720:450:461:2817
Jonas SiegenthalerNJD2420:340:511:2744
Jesper BrattNJD2320:310:541:4142
Timo MeierNJD2219:190:531:3542
Simon NemecNJD2218:530:521:2953
Dawson MercerNJD2218:490:511:1733
Nicolas RoyTOR2317:550:471:1825
Brandon CarloTOR2617:230:401:1814
Connor BrownNJD2117:160:491:2353
Simon BenoitTOR2817:140:371:1306
Arseny GritsyukNJD2117:040:491:3942
Easton CowanTOR2117:030:491:4901
John TavaresTOR2016:450:501:3846
Matias MaccelliTOR2016:220:491:1122
Brenden DillonNJD1916:210:521:2214
Johnathan KovacevicNJD2015:510:481:5213
Matthew KniesTOR1915:480:501:3646
Max DomiTOR1815:250:511:2315
Philippe MyersTOR2314:580:391:1605
Cody GlassNJD2214:360:401:0365
Calle JarnkrokTOR1712:180:431:0504
Dakota JoshuaTOR1611:190:421:1911
Lenni HameenahoNJD1510:390:431:0832
Nick RobertsonTOR1510:330:421:1201
Nick BjugstadNJD118:330:471:1310
Steven LorentzTOR138:210:391:0403
Paul CotterNJD107:160:441:0400
Maxim TsyplakovNJD86:520:521:0700