Fri, Mar 6, 2026·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Carolina Hurricanes 6, Edmonton Oilers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.
17%
68%
EDM winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:54 | 0.03 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 25:25 | 0.23 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 22:33 | 0.00 | 37.1% | +38.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:06 | 0.12 | 34.0% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:47 | 0.13 | 61.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.13 | 33.7% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.14 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.19 | 85.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.31 | 59.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.27 | 35.6% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 15:24 | 1.03 | 65.2% | +7.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.15 | 49.4% | +30.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:11 | 0.39 | 64.0% | +15.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.17 | 33.2% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:01 | 0.02 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.20 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.10 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 4:01 | 0.15 | 100.0% | +15.9 |
| W | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 2.22 | −0.8 | 59:07 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:19 | 0.15 | 67.6% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:32 | 0.35 | 63.5% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 21:27 | 0.06 | 52.9% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.02 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.14 | 80.4% | +15.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.54 | 68.1% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.05 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.07 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.07 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.05 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.19 | 50.3% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 9:43 | 0.24 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.13 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:09 | 0.16 | 95.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 2.93 | −2.1 | 58:52 |