Sat, Mar 7, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Nashville Predators 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
9%
43%
BUF winsNSH wins
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 25:56 | 0.08 | 22.1% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.44 | 35.3% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.10 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:48 | 0.44 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.10 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.15 | 43.5% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.01 | 44.6% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.19 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.51 | 52.5% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.46 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.00 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:26 | 0.28 | 65.1% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.38 | −0.6 | 58:52 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:36 | 0.24 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 24:36 | 0.02 | 67.6% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:11 | 0.11 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:02 | 0.06 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:19 | 0.10 | 54.9% | +18.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.43 | 57.4% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.00 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 72.8% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.41 | 71.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.05 | 70.6% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:42 | 0.35 | 73.4% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.07 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.52 | 73.4% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.04 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:32 | 0.17 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:12 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:55 | 0.03 | 30.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.74 | +0.7 | 60:00 |