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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 7, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Calgary Flames 5

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 59% of the time.

CGY winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:44Goal by Jarvis (Svechnikov, Aho)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Maatta, Whitecloud, Sharangovich, Coronato · CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  3. P1 3:09Shot by Carrier, saved by Wolf
  4. P1 3:17Shot by Robinson, saved by Wolf
  5. P1 4:12Shot by Frost, saved by Bussi
  6. P1 4:16Shot by Pachal, saved by Bussi
  7. P1 4:44Miller: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Maatta, Frost, Farabee, Pachal · CAR Hall, Walker, Miller, Stankoven, Blake

  8. P1 6:40Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Bussi5v4
  9. P1 6:59Shot by Robinson, saved by Wolf
  10. P1 8:14Shot by Strome, saved by Bussi
  11. P1 8:41Shot by Aho, saved by Wolf
  12. P1 9:12Shot by Miller, saved by Wolf
  13. P1 10:40Shot by Blake, saved by Wolf
  14. P1 15:46Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Bussi
  15. P1 16:10Shot by Backlund, saved by Bussi
  16. P1 17:06Klapka: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lomberg, Whitecloud, Bahl, Beecher, Klapka · CAR Staal, Reilly, Martinook, Ehlers, Nikishin

  17. P1 19:33Shot by Miller, saved by Wolf
  18. P1 19:51Shot by Martinook, saved by Wolf
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:13Shot by Zary, saved by Bussi
  22. P2 0:15Shot by Pospisil, saved by Bussi
  23. P2 0:15Shot by Pospisil, saved by Bussi
  24. P2 0:19Goal by Strome (Maatta, Pospisil)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Strome, Maatta, Pospisil, Pachal, Zary · CAR Staal, Martinook, Ehlers, Walker, Miller

  25. P2 3:30Shot by Miller, saved by Wolf
  26. P2 3:49Shot by Martinook, saved by Wolf
  27. P2 4:09Shot by Frost, saved by Bussi
  28. P2 4:11Goal by Farabee (Frost, Coleman)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Coleman, Frost, Farabee, Kuznetsov, Parekh · CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Chatfield

  29. P2 4:30Miller: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Bahl, Sharangovich, Kuznetsov, Coronato · CAR Hall, Walker, Miller, Stankoven, Blake

  30. P2 5:22Shot by Coleman, saved by Bussi5v4
  31. P2 7:00Reilly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Maatta, Lomberg, Pachal, Beecher, Klapka · CAR Hall, Reilly, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake

  32. P2 7:06Goal by Frost (Parekh, Strome)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Strome, Frost, Farabee, Coronato, Parekh · CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Chatfield

  33. P2 8:26Shot by Slavin, saved by Wolf
  34. P2 8:57Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Bussi
  35. P2 9:23Shot by Reilly, saved by Wolf
  36. P2 9:45Shot by Farabee, saved by Bussi
  37. P2 10:15Shot by Martinook, saved by Wolf
  38. P2 15:53Shot by Lomberg, saved by Bussi
  39. P2 16:15Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Bussi
  40. P2 16:41Shot by Ehlers, saved by Wolf
  41. P2 17:37Shot by Backlund, saved by Bussi
  42. P2 17:52Shot by Blake, saved by Wolf
  43. P2 19:01Pachal: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lomberg, Frost, Farabee, Bahl, Pachal · CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  44. P2 19:01Aho: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lomberg, Frost, Farabee, Bahl, Pachal · CAR Slavin, Aho, Chatfield, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  45. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:16Shot by Bahl, saved by Bussi
  48. P3 2:17Shot by Frost, saved by Bussi
  49. P3 2:22Shot by Farabee, saved by Bussi
  50. P3 2:24Goal by Coleman (Farabee)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Coleman, Frost, Farabee, Pachal, Kuznetsov · CAR Hall, Aho, Walker, Robinson, Miller

  51. P3 4:16Shot by Jarvis, saved by Wolf
  52. P3 4:41Goal by Walker (Hall, Aho)+4 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Coleman, Maatta, Frost, Farabee, Kuznetsov · CAR Hall, Aho, Walker, Robinson, Miller

  53. P3 4:58Shot by Jankowski, saved by Wolf
  54. P3 4:59Shot by Jankowski, saved by Wolf
  55. P3 5:01Shot by Reilly, saved by Wolf
  56. P3 5:15Pachal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Strome, Frost, Bahl, Pospisil, Pachal · CAR Reilly, Jankowski, Martinook, Carrier, Nikishin

  57. P3 5:43Goal by Nikishin (Aho, Jarvis)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Maatta, Kuznetsov · CAR Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  58. P3 5:58Shot by Chatfield, saved by Wolf
  59. P3 8:44Shot by Maatta, saved by Bussi
  60. P3 11:09Shot by Martinook, saved by Wolf
  61. P3 11:41Shot by Miller, saved by Wolf
  62. P3 15:05Shot by Ehlers, saved by Wolf
  63. P3 16:13Shot by Miller, saved by Wolf
  64. P3 16:15Shot by Robinson, saved by Wolf
  65. P3 17:42Goal by Farabee (Frost)+7 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Maatta, Frost, Farabee, Pachal, Zary · CAR Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Stankoven, Blake

  66. P3 19:48Goal by Svechnikov (Miller, Jarvis)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Maatta, Frost, Farabee, Pachal, Coronato · CAR Staal, Walker, Miller, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Stankoven

  67. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  68. P3 0:00Final5v6