Sat, Mar 7, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Calgary Flames 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 59% of the time.
32%
9%
9%
49%
CGY winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hall–Stankoven–Blake | Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | Staal–Martinook–Ehlers | Jankowski–Carrier–Robinson | Svechnikov–Stankoven–Blake | Staal–Ehlers–Jarvis | Jankowski–Martinook–Carrier | Hall–Aho–Robinson | Hall–Aho–Jarvis | Ehlers–Aho–Jarvis | Walker–Miller | Slavin–Chatfield | Reilly–Nikishin | Slavin–Nikishin | Chatfield–Miller | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleman–Frost–Farabee | 2:360.06–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.13 | 1:190.50–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.05 | 0:300.09–0.11 | 4:360.34–0.24 | 3:570.35–0.07 | 0:530.09–0.00 | ||||||
| Backlund–Sharangovich–Coronato | 2:090.12–0.06 | 2:470.05–0.15 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:300.00–0.21 | 0:390.00–0.17 | 3:110.00–0.62 | 3:050.13–0.23 | 2:040.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Strome–Pospisil–Zary | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.04 | 3:160.54–0.25 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:460.12–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 3:250.54–0.05 | 2:500.12–0.25 | 2:040.00–0.33 | ||||||
| Lomberg–Beecher–Klapka | 1:550.00–0.02 | 2:540.00–0.26 | 2:130.00–0.04 | 2:090.00–0.16 | 3:300.08–0.14 | 2:180.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Coleman–Farabee–Beecher | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Maatta–Pachal | 4:190.06–0.02 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:510.54–0.15 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:410.14–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.05 | 4:270.68–0.00 | 3:360.00–0.19 | 2:050.05–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | |||||
| Kuznetsov–Parekh | 2:380.40–0.00 | 3:170.00–0.16 | 0:400.00–0.01 | 2:590.24–0.16 | 2:490.18–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Bahl–Parekh | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.06 | 1:300.12–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.32 | 2:170.00–0.08 | 3:100.21–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.32 | ||||||||
| Whitecloud–Bahl | 1:230.05–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.17 | 0:520.00–0.06 | 2:340.00–0.13 | 1:070.00–0.10 | 0:500.05–0.00 | |||||||||
| Bahl–Kuznetsov | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.17 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.17 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Bahl–Pachal | 0:350.00–0.06 | 0:520.00–0.09 | 0:520.00–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.04 | 0:430.00–0.27 | 1:450.00–0.21 | |||||||||
| Maatta–Kuznetsov | 0:310.00–0.10 | 1:030.00–0.11 | 1:020.00–0.21 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Maatta–Bahl | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:570.02–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Pachal–Kuznetsov | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:360.09–0.00 | 1:010.09–0.00 | 0:430.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Maatta–Parekh | 1:310.09–0.09 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Kevin BahlCGY | 30 | 25:50 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 3 | 1 |
 Olli MaattaCGY | 33 | 23:54 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 1 | 8 |
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 29 | 23:51 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 29 | 23:22 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 3 | 2 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 26 | 22:24 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 2 | 4 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 25 | 21:53 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Yan KuznetsovCGY | 31 | 21:37 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 2 | 4 |
 Brayden PachalCGY | 33 | 20:20 | 0:37 | 1:32 | 0 | 6 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 22 | 19:29 | 0:53 | 2:18 | 4 | 3 |
 Zayne ParekhCGY | 26 | 19:02 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 7 | 0 |
 Joel FarabeeCGY | 25 | 18:30 | 0:44 | 1:58 | 7 | 4 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 23 | 18:20 | 0:48 | 1:46 | 4 | 1 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 21 | 18:17 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 3 | 0 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 25 | 18:03 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 0 | 4 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 26 | 17:50 | 0:41 | 1:36 | 4 | 6 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 22 | 17:26 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Morgan FrostCGY | 24 | 17:05 | 0:43 | 2:01 | 6 | 6 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 19 | 16:56 | 0:53 | 1:24 | 3 | 0 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 20 | 16:45 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 3 | 1 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 19 | 16:01 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 15:30 | 0:40 | 1:43 | 6 | 5 |
 Connor ZaryCGY | 19 | 15:28 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan StromeCGY | 21 | 15:07 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 4 | 2 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 18 | 14:47 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 3 | 0 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 20 | 14:40 | 0:44 | 1:46 | 5 | 2 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 17 | 13:18 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 19 | 12:28 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Martin PospisilCGY | 19 | 12:10 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 2 | 2 |
 John BeecherCGY | 17 | 12:07 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam KlapkaCGY | 14 | 10:57 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 1 | 0 |
 Ryan LombergCGY | 15 | 10:47 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 1 | 0 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 14 | 10:33 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 15 | 10:31 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 0 | 1 |
 William CarrierCAR | 15 | 10:11 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Mike ReillyCAR | 15 | 9:30 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Zach WhitecloudCGY | 8 | 6:16 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 0 | 0 |