Sat, Mar 7, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Calgary Flames 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 59% of the time.
32%
9%
9%
49%
CGY winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 K'Andre MillerD · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 23:51 | 0.19 | 48.5% | +1.9 |
 Sean WalkerD · #26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:22 | 0.11 | 51.6% | +4.4 |
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:24 | 0.02 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:53 | 0.03 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.39 | 77.0% | +28.4 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.07 | 58.2% | +30.9 |
 Logan StankovenC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.13 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Jackson BlakeRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.19 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Alexander NikishinD · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.05 | 66.3% | +11.9 |
 Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.35 | 47.9% | +16.5 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.22 | 35.9% | 0.0 |
 Taylor HallLW · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 49.6% | +4.4 |
 Nikolaj EhlersLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.31 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 12:28 | 0.18 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Eric RobinsonLW · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:33 | 0.20 | 56.6% | 0.0 |
 Mark JankowskiLW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:31 | 0.37 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 William CarrierLW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:11 | 0.12 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Mike ReillyD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:30 | 0.01 | 49.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon Bussi#32 | L | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 2.45 | −2.5 | 58:26 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:50 | 0.12 | 17.1% | 0.0 |
 Olli MaattaD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:54 | 0.02 | 65.7% | +16.5 |
 Yan KuznetsovD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.05 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PachalD · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.00 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Zayne ParekhD · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.00 | 45.1% | +11.4 |
 Joel FarabeeLW · #86 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 18:30 | 0.59 | 63.6% | +33.5 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.05 | 16.5% | 0.0 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.16 | 62.8% | +27.0 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.00 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
 Morgan FrostC · #16 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 17:05 | 0.39 | 69.7% | +39.8 |
 Connor ZaryC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.15 | 56.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan StromeC · #22 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.14 | 61.6% | +27.9 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:18 | 0.12 | 16.5% | 0.0 |
 Martin PospisilC · #76 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.30 | 58.2% | +16.5 |
 John BeecherC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 15.8% | 0.0 |
 Adam KlapkaRW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.35 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:16 | 0.01 | 15.1% | 0.0 |
 Dustin Wolf#32 | W | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.96 | −1.0 | 59:46 |