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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 7, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Ottawa Senators 7, Seattle Kraken 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 79% of the time.

SEA winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Cousins–Amadio–PintoTkachuk–Cozens–GreigGiroux–Batherson–StützleEller–Foegele–ZetterlundFoegele–Zetterlund–PintoJensen–ChabotSanderson–ZubSpence–KlevenChabot–SpenceKleven–ZubJensen–KlevenChabot–Zub
Eberle–McCann–Beniers3:290.04–0.060:570.00–0.093:080.05–0.310:580.00–0.111:520.03–0.114:310.03–0.401:370.05–0.101:480.00–0.10
Kakko–Wright–Catton2:170.00–0.172:130.04–0.021:050.21–0.000:490.05–0.001:590.05–0.050:440.00–0.132:500.25–0.171:250.00–0.00
Winterton–Melanson–Meyers1:500.00–0.002:350.00–0.290:430.00–0.002:520.00–0.291:180.24–0.100:340.00–0.00
Schwartz–Stephenson–Tolvanen0:440.00–0.002:250.01–0.111:330.00–0.001:560.00–0.071:380.01–0.000:430.00–0.00
Stephenson–Tolvanen–Winterton1:020.00–0.090:330.02–0.001:530.02–0.09
Stephenson–Tolvanen–Kakko1:370.00–0.220:320.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:410.00–0.14
Winterton–Wright–Catton1:240.08–0.050:420.03–0.000:460.05–0.05
Eberle–Wright–Catton0:410.00–0.00
Stephenson–Tolvanen–Melanson0:380.05–0.000:380.05–0.00
Stephenson–Tolvanen–Catton0:310.10–0.00
Winterton–Meyers–Catton0:460.03–0.22
Oleksiak–Montour3:340.04–0.247:430.01–0.741:330.00–0.103:010.00–0.194:340.03–0.164:570.04–0.142:160.00–0.090:360.00–0.001:090.00–0.252:520.00–0.420:590.00–0.14
Fleury–Evans3:580.15–0.241:270.24–0.050:510.14–0.002:560.31–0.001:280.05–0.101:160.00–0.164:170.40–0.172:030.44–0.050:450.00–0.001:170.00–0.00
Larsson–Dunn1:170.03–0.225:110.00–0.261:170.02–0.112:380.02–0.022:290.00–0.400:400.00–0.161:540.00–0.191:170.00–0.06
Montour–Dunn0:480.05–0.001:160.05–0.06
Montour–Evans0:450.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Dunn–Fleury0:360.00–0.260:340.00–0.26
Larsson–Oleksiak0:370.00–0.04
Oleksiak–Dunn
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStephenson FSchwartz FTolvanen FBeniers FEberle FMcCann FCatton FKakko FWright FWinterton FMeyers FMelanson FOleksiak DMontour DLarsson DDunn DFleury DEvans DDaccord GTkachuk FCozens FGreig FStützle FBatherson FGiroux FCousins FPinto FAmadio FFoegele FEller FZetterlund FJensen DChabot DZub DSanderson DSpence DKleven DUllmark G
SEAOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brandon MontourSEA2528:181:082:2121
Thomas ChabotOTT3326:120:481:5323
Jamie OleksiakSEA2223:081:032:2601
Artem ZubOTT3421:550:391:2264
Nick JensenOTT3020:320:411:3730
Tyler KlevenOTT2919:130:401:1740
Chandler StephensonSEA2319:090:501:3844
Jordan SpenceOTT2718:190:411:1120
Shane PintoOTT2918:180:381:4322
Vince DunnSEA2318:070:471:3234
Berkly CattonSEA2418:020:451:2332
Tim StützleOTT2317:510:471:3890
Matty BeniersSEA2717:460:391:1247
Eeli TolvanenSEA2517:130:411:1735
Ridly GreigOTT2817:110:371:0066
Jordan EberleSEA2716:140:361:2442
Kaapo KakkoSEA2116:060:461:2221
Dylan CozensOTT2316:050:421:3562
Cale FleurySEA1915:300:491:2210
Ryker EvansSEA1915:290:491:1801
Adam LarssonSEA2115:180:441:1606
Brady TkachukOTT2415:180:381:3962
Shane WrightSEA2115:100:431:1132
Jared McCannSEA2614:490:341:1625
Michael AmadioOTT2714:400:330:5631
Ryan WintertonSEA2014:020:421:1612
Ben MeyersSEA2114:020:401:0405
Nick CousinsOTT2413:400:340:5520
Drake BathersonOTT2012:560:391:0480
Jake SandersonOTT1812:520:431:0761
Claude GirouxOTT2012:500:391:1472
Warren FoegeleOTT2211:490:321:1312
Fabian ZetterlundOTT2111:420:331:1621
Jacob MelansonSEA1711:100:391:0903
Lars EllerOTT1910:440:340:5111
Jaden SchwartzSEA96:270:431:0212