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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 9, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Calgary Flames 3, Washington Capitals 7

Away

Calgary Flames

3

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 74% of the time.

WSH winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Bahl, saved by Thompson
  3. P1 1:32Shot by Strome, saved by Cooley
  4. P1 2:43Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Cooley
  5. P1 2:46Goal by Lapierre (Fehérváry, Chisholm)+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Duhaime, Fehérváry, Chisholm, Lapierre, Frank · CGY Maatta, Lomberg, Sharangovich, Pachal, Klapka

  6. P1 4:53Parekh: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Beauvillier, Roy, Fehérváry, Sandin, Frank · CGY Strome, Hanley, Zary, Parekh, Gridin

  7. P1 5:08Shot by Coleman, saved by Thompson5v4
  8. P1 5:44Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Thompson5v4
  9. P1 6:58Shot by Frank, saved by Cooley
  10. P1 9:13Goal by Wilson (Protas, Strome)+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas · CGY Strome, Bahl, Zary, Kuznetsov, Gridin

  11. P1 11:46Shot by Gridin, saved by Thompson
  12. P1 13:29Shot by Lomberg, saved by Thompson
  13. P1 14:53Shot by Strome, saved by Cooley
  14. P1 16:01Shot by Duhaime, saved by Cooley
  15. P1 17:43Goal by McMichael (Sourdif, Beauvillier)+8 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Fehérváry, Chisholm, McMichael, Sourdif · CGY Backlund, Lomberg, Bahl, Kuznetsov, Coronato

  16. P1 19:31Shot by Bahl, saved by Thompson
  17. P1 19:50Shot by Coleman, saved by Thompson
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:40Shot by Strome, saved by Cooley
  21. P2 1:16Shot by Coronato, saved by Thompson
  22. P2 1:19Shot by Coronato, saved by Thompson
  23. P2 2:45Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Cooley
  24. P2 2:53Shot by Zary, saved by Thompson
  25. P2 3:17Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Thompson
  26. P2 3:30Shot by Frank, saved by Cooley
  27. P2 6:19Shot by Sourdif, saved by Cooley
  28. P2 6:34Shot by Zary, saved by Thompson
  29. P2 7:42Shot by Sandin, saved by Cooley
  30. P2 10:31Shot by Bahl, saved by Thompson
  31. P2 13:37Shot by Sourdif, saved by Cooley
  32. P2 13:55Shot by Coleman, saved by Thompson
  33. P2 13:58Shot by Coleman, saved by Thompson
  34. P2 15:14Shot by Gridin, saved by Thompson
  35. P2 15:58Shot by Strome, saved by Thompson
  36. P2 16:08Goal by Gridin (Maatta, Strome)+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Strome, Fehérváry, Chisholm, Protas · CGY Strome, Maatta, Pachal, Zary, Gridin

  37. P2 16:36Shot by Frost, saved by Thompson
  38. P2 17:32Parekh: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Roy, Dubois, Sandin, McMichael, Leonard · CGY Strome, Maatta, Zary, Parekh, Gridin

  39. P2 17:39Goal by Coleman (Backlund, Kuznetsov)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Leonard · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Bahl, Kuznetsov

  40. P2 18:55Goal by Sharangovich (Farabee)5v4+30 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Leonard · CGY Maatta, Farabee, Sharangovich, Kuznetsov

  41. P2 19:23Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Cooley5v4
  42. P2 19:25Shot by Roy, saved by Cooley5v4
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:39Shot by Strome, saved by Cooley
  46. P3 2:09Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Cooley
  47. P3 3:52Shot by Chychrun, saved by Cooley
  48. P3 4:01Shot by Leonard, saved by Cooley
  49. P3 4:23Shot by Leonard, saved by Cooley
  50. P3 7:00Shot by McMichael, saved by Cooley
  51. P3 7:09Shot by Lomberg, saved by Thompson
  52. P3 9:22Bahl: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Sandin, Sourdif · CGY Coleman, Frost, Farabee, Bahl, Kuznetsov

  53. P3 9:36Shot by Wilson, saved by Cooley5v4
  54. P3 9:59Shot by Coleman, saved by Thompson5v4
  55. P3 10:52Goal by McMichael, unassisted5v4+36 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Sandin, McMichael, Protas, Frank · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Maatta, Pachal

  56. P3 11:15Goal by Sourdif, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Beauvillier, Roy, Sandin, Protas, Sourdif · CGY Strome, Bahl, Zary, Kuznetsov, Gridin

  57. P3 13:44Shot by Sourdif, saved by Cooley
  58. P3 14:24Shot by Farabee, saved by Thompson
  59. P3 15:27Shot by Strome, saved by Cooley
  60. P3 16:12Shot by Pachal, saved by Thompson
  61. P3 17:14Goal by Frank (Duhaime, Lapierre)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Duhaime, Fehérváry, Sandin, Lapierre, Frank · CGY Coleman, Frost, Farabee, Bahl, Klapka, Parekh

  62. P3 19:13Shot by Coronato, saved by Thompson
  63. P3 19:44Goal by Leonard (Sourdif)0 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Beauvillier, Sandin, Chisholm, Sourdif, Leonard · CGY Strome, Hanley, Olofsson, Pachal, Coronato

  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final