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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 9, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Calgary Flames 3, Washington Capitals 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 74% of the time.

WSH winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Coleman–Frost–FarabeeStrome–Zary–GridinBacklund–Olofsson–CoronatoLomberg–Sharangovich–KlapkaOlofsson–Sharangovich–KlapkaBacklund–Olofsson–SharangovichBahl–KuznetsovMaatta–PachalHanley–ParekhBahl–ParekhHanley–PachalMaatta–KuznetsovMaatta–ParekhHanley–Kuznetsov
Wilson–Strome–Protas5:120.35–0.533:460.06–0.180:450.11–0.003:230.34–0.033:260.03–0.673:370.11–0.060:470.01–0.00
Ovechkin–Beauvillier–Sourdif2:560.01–0.101:320.04–0.001:500.00–0.140:460.00–0.033:130.08–0.152:270.00–0.062:260.20–0.000:420.00–0.03
Dubois–McMichael–Leonard3:400.14–0.011:170.16–0.282:350.20–0.000:430.13–0.013:030.25–0.002:050.22–0.153:090.16–0.18
Duhaime–Lapierre–Frank4:270.15–0.210:500.10–0.000:550.12–0.000:410.06–0.022:360.16–0.182:260.12–0.052:350.19–0.00
Beauvillier–Sourdif–Frank0:320.00–0.160:380.00–0.00
Wilson–Strome–McMichael
van Riemsdyk–Chychrun5:400.16–0.211:190.13–0.000:360.00–0.002:150.00–0.050:480.06–0.026:280.38–0.253:340.00–0.002:430.36–0.000:570.01–0.00
Roy–Sandin1:470.00–0.111:510.05–0.005:570.31–0.180:390.00–0.093:050.27–0.163:460.06–0.253:280.00–0.00
Fehérváry–Chisholm0:530.00–0.005:300.25–0.681:510.18–0.001:120.12–0.063:040.35–0.004:160.44–0.684:010.04–0.13
Roy–Chychrun1:100.14–0.000:420.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:150.00–0.161:220.14–0.00
Roy–Fehérváry0:450.00–0.010:340.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:300.00–0.01
Fehérváry–Sandin1:010.11–0.00
Chychrun–Sandin0:300.01–0.00
Chychrun–Fehérváry0:480.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Sandin–Chisholm
van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry0:450.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Roy0:330.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLeonard FMcMichael FDubois FStrome FProtas FWilson FOvechkin FSourdif FBeauvillier FDuhaime FLapierre FFrank FChychrun Dvan Riemsdyk DRoy DSandin DFehérváry DChisholm DThompson GFrost FColeman FFarabee FBacklund FCoronato FOlofsson FStrome FZary FGridin FSharangovich FKlapka FLomberg FBahl DKuznetsov DMaatta DPachal DParekh DHanley DCooley G
WSHCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jakob ChychrunWSH2224:121:061:5032
Yan KuznetsovCGY3422:380:401:2215
Kevin BahlCGY3121:170:411:1615
Olli MaattaCGY3020:220:411:1023
Rasmus SandinWSH2420:100:501:2723
Matt RoyWSH2219:340:531:1603
Martin FehérváryWSH1919:061:001:4603
Zayne ParekhCGY2619:040:441:1660
Joel HanleyCGY2718:440:421:4530
Mikael BacklundCGY2418:260:461:1025
Blake ColemanCGY2418:190:461:1933
Tom WilsonWSH2018:120:551:2833
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2118:110:521:2401
Brayden PachalCGY2718:080:401:1402
Joel FarabeeCGY2317:530:471:1330
Alex OvechkinWSH1817:200:582:2630
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2017:200:521:1214
Justin SourdifWSH2017:090:511:2921
Dylan StromeWSH2017:040:511:1233
Anthony BeauvillierWSH2116:330:471:1521
Victor OlofssonCGY1915:430:501:1122
Morgan FrostCGY2115:250:441:1631
Yegor SharangovichCGY2315:130:401:1110
Connor McMichaelWSH2014:530:451:3312
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH2014:310:441:1222
Ryan LeonardWSH2014:240:431:0323
Ethen FrankWSH2014:180:431:2102
Ryan StromeCGY2114:060:401:0840
Declan ChisholmWSH1313:591:051:3201
Connor ZaryCGY2113:330:391:2350
Matt CoronatoCGY1613:300:511:0822
Matvei GridinCGY2012:460:381:0150
Hendrix LapierreWSH1611:570:451:1410
Adam KlapkaCGY1511:210:451:1101
Brandon DuhaimeWSH1611:070:421:2301
Ryan LombergCGY128:390:431:1901