Mon, Mar 9, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Calgary Flames 3, Washington Capitals 7
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 74% of the time.
67%
19%
WSH winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:38 | 0.00 | 41.1% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:17 | 0.15 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:22 | 0.12 | 59.2% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.05 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:44 | 0.03 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:26 | 0.16 | 38.1% | +11.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:19 | 0.52 | 51.5% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.02 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.01 | 51.8% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.10 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:13 | 0.25 | 32.9% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.39 | 49.4% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.28 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:30 | 0.17 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 12:46 | 0.31 | 58.5% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.06 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 8:39 | 0.12 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 22 | 6 | .786 | 3.60 | −2.4 | 59:23 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:12 | 0.05 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.16 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.16 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.01 | 53.2% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.26 | 43.3% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.00 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.25 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.14 | 51.7% | +12.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 17:09 | 0.23 | 57.0% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 17:04 | 0.43 | 44.2% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.23 | 49.5% | +8.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:53 | 0.49 | 70.9% | +44.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.10 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:24 | 0.39 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:18 | 1.01 | 50.5% | +0.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 52.3% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 11:57 | 0.36 | 61.9% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 11:07 | 0.08 | 63.0% | +0.8 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.76 | −0.2 | 60:00 |