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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Montréal Canadiens 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Montréal Canadiens

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 93% of the time.

MTL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:53Shot by Groulx, saved by Dobes
  3. P1 2:02Shot by Evans, saved by Woll
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Hutson, saved by Woll
  5. P1 2:30Shot by Guhle, saved by Woll
  6. P1 4:46Goal by Kapanen (Newhook, Demidov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Carrier, Newhook, Kapanen, Hutson, Demidov · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Nylander, Maccelli

  7. P1 6:13Shot by Caufield, saved by Woll
  8. P1 7:49Shot by Quillan, saved by Dobes
  9. P1 7:50Shot by Joshua, saved by Dobes
  10. P1 8:24Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Woll
  11. P1 8:32Shot by Kapanen, saved by Woll
  12. P1 11:18Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Woll
  13. P1 11:24Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Woll
  14. P1 12:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Dobes
  15. P1 13:00Shot by Carrier, saved by Woll
  16. P1 13:34Shot by Carrier, saved by Woll
  17. P1 13:39Shot by Dobson, saved by Woll
  18. P1 14:41Goal by Danault (Guhle, Hutson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Danault, Anderson, Guhle, Hutson · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Maccelli

  19. P1 14:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Dobes
  20. P1 16:48Shot by Dach, saved by Woll
  21. P1 17:53Shot by Dobson, saved by Woll
  22. P1 18:06Shot by Kapanen, saved by Woll
  23. P1 18:12Shot by Caufield, saved by Woll
  24. P1 19:31Shot by Hutson, saved by Woll
  25. P1 19:35McCabe: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Danault, Anderson, Guhle, Hutson · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Groulx, Robertson, Cowan

  26. P1 19:35Gallagher: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Danault, Anderson, Guhle, Hutson · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Groulx, Robertson, Cowan

  27. P1 19:35McCabe: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Danault, Anderson, Guhle, Hutson · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Groulx, Robertson, Cowan

  28. P1 19:35Gallagher: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Danault, Anderson, Guhle, Hutson · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Groulx, Robertson, Cowan

  29. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:14Shot by Demidov, saved by Woll
  32. P2 2:35Xhekaj: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Evans, Dobson, Bolduc, Xhekaj · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Carlo, Robertson, Cowan, Quillan

  33. P2 4:49Shot by Stecher, saved by Dobes
  34. P2 5:19Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Woll
  35. P2 6:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Dobes
  36. P2 8:15Shot by Evans, saved by Woll
  37. P2 10:45Shot by Cowan, saved by Dobes
  38. P2 11:37Shot by Benoit, saved by Dobes
  39. P2 11:55Hutson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Evans, Carrier, Dach, Bolduc, Hutson · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Cowan

  40. P2 13:43Shot by Maccelli, saved by Dobes4v5
  41. P2 13:59Shot by McCabe, saved by Dobes
  42. P2 14:10Shot by Carlo, saved by Dobes
  43. P2 14:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Dobes
  44. P2 14:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Dobes
  45. P2 14:33Goal by Nylander (Cowan)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Dobson, Dach, Slafkovský · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Cowan

  46. P2 17:47Shot by Suzuki, saved by Woll
  47. P2 17:49Shot by Hutson, saved by Woll
  48. P2 17:56Shot by Hutson, saved by Woll
  49. P2 19:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Dobes
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 2:25Shot by Matheson, saved by Woll
  53. P3 2:31Shot by Matheson, saved by Woll
  54. P3 4:21Shot by Evans, saved by Woll
  55. P3 6:13Shot by Bolduc, saved by Woll
  56. P3 8:12Shot by Groulx, saved by Dobes
  57. P3 11:16Shot by Anderson, saved by Woll6v5
  58. P3 11:17Knies: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Anderson, Evans, Suzuki, Dobson, Dach, Hutson · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Knies

  59. P3 13:08Shot by Carlo, saved by Dobes5v4
  60. P3 13:26Ekman-Larsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Dobson, Dach, Newhook, Bolduc · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Carlo, Matthews, Knies

  61. P3 15:17Shot by Dobson, saved by Woll5v4
  62. P3 15:21Shot by Anderson, saved by Woll5v4
  63. P3 16:39Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Woll
  64. P3 19:32Goal by Evans (Matheson)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Danault, Matheson, Anderson, Evans, Guhle · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Knies, Cowan

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final