Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 93% of the time.
91%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:02 | 0.08 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.28 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.37 | 19.7% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.27 | 40.9% | +13.7 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.14 | 40.6% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.07 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.05 | 43.0% | +13.7 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.03 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.01 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 13.2% | 0.0 |
 Bo GroulxC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.17 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.15 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.11 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:56 | 0.15 | 24.3% | 0.0 |
 Jacob QuillanC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:25 | 0.05 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 4.41 | +2.4 | 57:59 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mike MathesonD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:49 | 0.15 | 61.3% | +2.7 |
 Kaiden GuhleD · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:26 | 0.08 | 70.7% | +12.8 |
 Lane HutsonD · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 21:33 | 0.51 | 82.4% | +12.8 |
 Nick SuzukiC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.19 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:51 | 0.40 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Noah DobsonD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:13 | 0.07 | 70.0% | 0.0 |
 Alexandre CarrierD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:56 | 0.08 | 63.7% | 0.0 |
 Ivan DemidovRW · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.16 | 76.4% | +13.1 |
 Phillip DanaultC · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.27 | 68.3% | +12.8 |
 Oliver KapanenC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:07 | 0.74 | 73.7% | +13.1 |
 Jake EvansC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:06 | 1.63 | 75.6% | +2.7 |
 Zachary BolducRW · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.17 | 69.4% | 0.0 |
 Alex NewhookC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.02 | 68.4% | +13.1 |
 Josh AndersonRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.47 | 80.2% | 0.0 |
 Kirby DachC · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.21 | 64.9% | 0.0 |
 Brendan GallagherRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 74.0% | 0.0 |
 Arber XhekajD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.03 | 76.1% | 0.0 |
 Cole CaufieldRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:27 | 0.29 | 73.7% | 0.0 |
 Jakub Dobes#75 | W | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 1.93 | +0.9 | 59:56 |