Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 93% of the time.
91%
MTL winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MTL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Domi–Matthews–Knies | Joshua–Lorentz–Quillan | Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli | Nylander–Matthews–Cowan | Groulx–Robertson–Maccelli | Groulx–Robertson–Cowan | Tavares–Domi–Knies | Tavares–Nylander–Cowan | Joshua–Lorentz–Groulx | Tavares–Joshua–Lorentz | Tavares–Knies–Cowan | Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | Rielly–Carlo | Stecher–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | Rielly–Stecher | Ekman-Larsson–Carlo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newhook–Kapanen–Demidov | 0:330.00–0.00 | 3:280.52–0.12 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:460.05–0.14 | 0:560.09–0.01 | 0:440.09–0.00 | 1:260.48–0.00 | 1:540.09–0.03 | 2:580.16–0.13 | 2:160.09–0.11 | |||||||
| Evans–Dach–Bolduc | 1:040.06–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:400.07–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.13 | 2:090.14–0.03 | 1:350.31–0.12 | 3:160.08–0.26 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 3:000.49–0.03 | 0:420.23–0.00 | |||||||
| Gallagher–Danault–Anderson | 2:510.36–0.21 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:420.07–0.00 | 2:140.21–0.00 | 3:050.29–0.21 | 1:450.24–0.00 | ||||||||
| Suzuki–Caufield–Slafkovský | 4:320.43–0.00 | 0:550.10–0.31 | 1:000.04–0.01 | 2:330.15–0.01 | 2:070.37–0.00 | 0:460.10–0.00 | 0:310.06–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Suzuki–Slafkovský–Demidov | 1:210.00–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:590.26–0.00 | 1:420.26–0.02 | 0:590.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||
| Suzuki–Newhook–Slafkovský | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Suzuki–Bolduc–Slafkovský | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Kapanen–Slafkovský–Demidov | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Guhle–Hutson | 0:510.09–0.00 | 1:270.32–0.21 | 2:450.37–0.12 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:580.20–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 1:320.09–0.01 | 1:380.10–0.00 | 5:060.60–0.28 | 4:130.55–0.13 | 1:180.09–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||
| Matheson–Dobson | 5:290.43–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:420.07–0.50 | 0:370.31–0.00 | 4:460.38–0.32 | 2:580.52–0.00 | 1:460.31–0.03 | 0:530.06–0.04 | |||||||||
| Carrier–Xhekaj | 2:200.06–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.11 | 2:070.01–0.04 | 0:470.09–0.00 | 2:580.01–0.01 | 1:370.09–0.00 | 2:120.06–0.14 | 0:360.23–0.00 | |||||||||
| Matheson–Carrier | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.12 | 1:290.00–0.12 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Dobson–Hutson | 0:390.10–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:080.26–0.00 | 1:450.26–0.00 | 0:510.10–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Carrier–Guhle | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.11 | 1:220.02–0.05 | 0:580.00–0.11 | |||||||||||||
| Guhle–Xhekaj | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Matheson–Xhekaj | 1:000.04–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Carrier–Hutson | 0:450.43–0.00 | 0:460.43–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Matheson–Guhle | 0:410.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MTLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 33 | 24:02 | 0:44 | 2:25 | 3 | 8 | |
| 25 | 23:49 | 0:57 | 2:14 | 4 | 3 | |
| 25 | 22:28 | 0:54 | 2:24 | 5 | 2 | |
| 23 | 22:26 | 0:59 | 1:37 | 3 | 0 | |
| 24 | 21:33 | 0:54 | 2:37 | 4 | 1 | |
| 23 | 20:14 | 0:53 | 2:23 | 2 | 5 | |
| 22 | 20:05 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 4 | 2 | |
| 24 | 20:03 | 0:50 | 2:10 | 3 | 0 | |
| 21 | 19:51 | 0:57 | 1:47 | 6 | 2 | |
| 27 | 19:13 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 3 | 2 | |
| 26 | 19:10 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 | |
| 18 | 19:04 | 1:04 | 2:34 | 4 | 1 | |
| 27 | 19:03 | 0:42 | 2:17 | 2 | 10 | |
| 26 | 19:00 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 1 | 5 | |
| 22 | 18:56 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 2 | 2 | |
| 20 | 18:21 | 0:55 | 2:01 | 2 | 2 | |
| 20 | 17:31 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 5 | 0 | |
| 22 | 16:28 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 0 | 1 | |
| 22 | 16:21 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 0 | 1 | |
| 20 | 15:12 | 0:46 | 2:09 | 2 | 2 | |
| 18 | 15:07 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 2 | 0 | |
| 18 | 15:06 | 0:50 | 2:09 | 3 | 2 | |
| 18 | 14:37 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 2 | 1 | |
| 17 | 14:24 | 0:51 | 1:41 | 2 | 0 | |
| 16 | 14:20 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 2 | 0 | |
| 18 | 14:13 | 0:47 | 2:11 | 0 | 6 | |
| 18 | 13:58 | 0:47 | 2:13 | 2 | 0 | |
| 16 | 13:46 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 | |
| 17 | 12:47 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 0 | 6 | |
| 18 | 11:36 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 | |
| 16 | 11:06 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 10:59 | 0:51 | 2:31 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 10:38 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 0 | 4 | |
| 15 | 10:27 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 4 | 2 | |
| 11 | 8:56 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 0 | 1 | |
| 17 | 8:25 | 0:30 | 0:47 | 0 | 2 |