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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Montréal Canadiens 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 93% of the time.

MTL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

MTL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Domi–Matthews–KniesJoshua–Lorentz–QuillanTavares–Nylander–MaccelliNylander–Matthews–CowanGroulx–Robertson–MaccelliGroulx–Robertson–CowanTavares–Domi–KniesTavares–Nylander–CowanJoshua–Lorentz–GroulxTavares–Joshua–LorentzTavares–Knies–CowanEkman-Larsson–McCabeRielly–CarloStecher–BenoitEkman-Larsson–BenoitRielly–StecherEkman-Larsson–Carlo
Newhook–Kapanen–Demidov0:330.00–0.003:280.52–0.120:340.00–0.001:460.05–0.140:560.09–0.010:440.09–0.001:260.48–0.001:540.09–0.032:580.16–0.132:160.09–0.11
Evans–Dach–Bolduc1:040.06–0.000:330.00–0.000:400.07–0.000:530.00–0.132:090.14–0.031:350.31–0.123:160.08–0.261:060.00–0.003:000.49–0.030:420.23–0.00
Gallagher–Danault–Anderson2:510.36–0.210:320.00–0.000:420.03–0.000:460.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:420.07–0.002:140.21–0.003:050.29–0.211:450.24–0.00
Suzuki–Caufield–Slafkovský4:320.43–0.000:550.10–0.311:000.04–0.012:330.15–0.012:070.37–0.000:460.10–0.000:310.06–0.00
Suzuki–Slafkovský–Demidov1:210.00–0.060:300.00–0.000:590.26–0.001:420.26–0.020:590.00–0.04
Suzuki–Newhook–Slafkovský0:410.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Suzuki–Bolduc–Slafkovský1:020.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Kapanen–Slafkovský–Demidov0:570.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Guhle–Hutson0:510.09–0.001:270.32–0.212:450.37–0.120:490.00–0.040:520.00–0.000:580.20–0.001:450.00–0.001:320.09–0.011:380.10–0.005:060.60–0.284:130.55–0.131:180.09–0.000:350.00–0.00
Matheson–Dobson5:290.43–0.000:590.00–0.001:420.07–0.500:370.31–0.004:460.38–0.322:580.52–0.001:460.31–0.030:530.06–0.04
Carrier–Xhekaj2:200.06–0.001:130.00–0.112:070.01–0.040:470.09–0.002:580.01–0.011:370.09–0.002:120.06–0.140:360.23–0.00
Matheson–Carrier1:100.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:400.00–0.121:290.00–0.121:040.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Dobson–Hutson0:390.10–0.000:530.00–0.001:080.26–0.001:450.26–0.000:510.10–0.00
Carrier–Guhle0:330.00–0.001:060.00–0.111:220.02–0.050:580.00–0.11
Guhle–Xhekaj0:570.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Matheson–Xhekaj1:000.04–0.000:460.00–0.00
Carrier–Hutson0:450.43–0.000:460.43–0.00
Matheson–Guhle0:410.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCaufield FSuzuki FSlafkovský FNewhook FKapanen FDemidov FEvans FBolduc FDach FAnderson FDanault FGallagher FMatheson DDobson DGuhle DHutson DCarrier DXhekaj DDobes GDomi FKnies FMatthews FTavares FMaccelli FNylander FGroulx FCowan FRobertson FQuillan FLorentz FJoshua FMcCabe DEkman-Larsson DCarlo DRielly DStecher DBenoit DWoll G
MTLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3324:020:442:2538
Mike MathesonMTL2523:490:572:1443
Auston MatthewsTOR2522:280:542:2452
Kaiden GuhleMTL2322:260:591:3730
Lane HutsonMTL2421:330:542:3741
John TavaresTOR2320:140:532:2325
Nick SuzukiMTL2220:050:551:3542
William NylanderTOR2420:030:502:1030
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL2119:510:571:4762
Noah DobsonMTL2719:130:431:2332
Morgan RiellyTOR2619:100:441:3124
Matthew KniesTOR1819:041:042:3441
Jake McCabeTOR2719:030:422:17210
Brandon CarloTOR2619:000:441:3715
Alexandre CarrierMTL2218:560:521:4522
Easton CowanTOR2018:210:552:0122
Ivan DemidovMTL2017:310:531:3750
Simon BenoitTOR2216:280:451:4101
Troy StecherTOR2216:210:451:3901
Phillip DanaultMTL2015:120:462:0922
Oliver KapanenMTL1815:070:501:3720
Jake EvansMTL1815:060:502:0932
Max DomiTOR1814:370:491:4121
Zachary BolducMTL1714:240:511:4120
Alex NewhookMTL1614:200:541:3720
Bo GroulxTOR1814:130:472:1106
Josh AndersonMTL1813:580:472:1320
Matias MaccelliTOR1613:460:521:2403
Nick RobertsonTOR1712:470:451:0906
Kirby DachMTL1811:360:391:2232
Brendan GallagherMTL1611:060:421:0910
Arber XhekajMTL1310:590:512:3110
Steven LorentzTOR1410:380:461:3204
Cole CaufieldMTL1510:270:421:3142
Dakota JoshuaTOR118:560:491:3101
Jacob QuillanTOR178:250:300:4702