Tue, Mar 10, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Carolina Hurricanes 5 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 69% of the time.
63%
25%
CAR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 28:01 | 0.19 | 74.9% | +68.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 23:14 | 0.47 | 32.7% | +74.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 22:26 | 0.49 | 30.6% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:51 | 0.25 | 46.0% | +50.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.03 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:35 | 0.70 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.02 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.02 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.62 | 40.3% | +5.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:23 | 0.22 | 48.3% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.03 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.07 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.11 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:23 | 0.66 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.34 | 34.0% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.18 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 44 | 40 | 4 | .909 | 5.87 | +1.9 | 63:06 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:01 | 0.16 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:07 | 0.80 | 68.5% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.03 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:51 | 0.04 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 9 | 20:45 | 1.45 | 61.4% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.06 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.32 | 60.4% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.26 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:45 | 0.00 | 63.1% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:18 | 0.47 | 45.7% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 15:14 | 0.96 | 60.5% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.25 | 60.2% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.15 | 56.8% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:46 | 0.30 | 53.8% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.26 | 58.7% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 8:49 | 0.38 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 4.41 | +0.4 | 65:00 |