Wed, Mar 11, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Montréal Canadiens 3, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 59% of the time.
33%
8%
9%
50%
OTT winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Noah DobsonD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:39 | 0.16 | 53.8% | 0.0 |
 Lane HutsonD · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:30 | 0.12 | 69.0% | +28.6 |
 Kaiden GuhleD · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:19 | 0.28 | 62.9% | +28.1 |
 Mike MathesonD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.34 | 49.3% | 0.0 |
 Nick SuzukiC · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.11 | 38.2% | +13.5 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:43 | 1.66 | 35.0% | +13.5 |
 Jake EvansC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.00 | 59.2% | +28.6 |
 Alexandre CarrierD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:34 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Phillip DanaultC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Alexandre TexierLW · #85 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:49 | 0.11 | 40.5% | +28.6 |
 Josh AndersonRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.20 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
 Kirby DachC · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:14 | 0.20 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Oliver KapanenC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.13 | 59.4% | 0.0 |
 Alex NewhookC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.12 | 53.9% | +28.1 |
 Ivan DemidovRW · #93 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:50 | 0.39 | 70.4% | +41.6 |
 Zachary BolducRW · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:03 | 0.22 | 78.9% | 0.0 |
 Jayden StrubleD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 9:12 | 0.14 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Brendan GallagherRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.03 | 64.2% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Fowler#32 | W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.74 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 28:32 | 0.15 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.20 | 48.4% | +33.5 |
 Jordan SpenceD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:30 | 0.07 | 67.3% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.00 | 27.0% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.09 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:55 | 1.10 | 63.2% | +33.5 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:07 | 0.69 | 56.4% | 0.0 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.20 | 40.7% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:26 | 0.31 | 58.3% | +14.2 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.21 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.03 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:42 | 0.38 | 43.5% | +19.4 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:34 | 0.13 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
 Warren FoegeleLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.14 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
 Lars EllerC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.04 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.75 | −0.2 | 57:38 |