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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 14, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Calgary Flames 2, New York Islanders 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 55% of the time.

NYI winsCGY wins

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kevin BahlD · #7011−1023:130.0035.0%+4.9
Olli MaattaD · #3011−1221:000.0835.0%+4.9
Zach WhitecloudD · #28000+1319:510.1456.9%0.0
Blake ColemanLW · #20101+2419:230.5869.4%+12.0
Zayne ParekhD · #190000219:140.1033.0%0.0
Ryan StromeC · #220000118:030.1351.0%0.0
Morgan FrostC · #16000−1217:540.1923.7%0.0
Matt CoronatoRW · #27000−1117:470.2733.3%0.0
Yan KuznetsovD · #37011+1217:400.1354.5%+12.0
Victor OlofssonLW · #95000−1317:300.2542.3%0.0
Mikael BacklundC · #111010417:070.0855.4%+4.9
Joel FarabeeLW · #86000+1116:450.0257.4%0.0
Yegor SharangovichC · #17000−1416:300.4643.1%0.0
Matvei GridinRW · #92000−1216:230.1418.9%0.0
Joel HanleyD · #440000013:580.0070.2%0.0
Connor ZaryC · #47000−1010:410.00100.0%0.0
John BeecherC · #18000−119:440.0967.8%0.0
Adam KlapkaRW · #43000−108:050.0037.5%0.0
Devin Cooley#1L1073.7001.66−1.318:43
Dustin Wolf#32–171701.0001.26+1.338:29

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Matthew SchaeferD · #48000+1222:060.1154.2%0.0
Tony DeAngeloD · #77000+2121:420.1864.7%0.0
Adam PelechD · #3000+1121:320.0763.7%0.0
Ryan PulockD · #6000+1121:060.0242.7%0.0
Bo HorvatC · #140000320:010.1771.5%0.0
Mathew BarzalC · #130000419:070.3164.5%0.0
Scott MayfieldD · #24000−1017:180.0231.2%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44011+1317:040.3847.2%+8.0
Anders LeeLW · #27000−1216:240.1537.9%0.0
Simon HolmstromRW · #92202+2215:300.5147.9%+21.0
Emil HeinemanLW · #510000315:100.4271.8%0.0
Carson SoucyD · #4000−2115:070.0346.0%0.0
Brayden SchennC · #100110014:320.0936.4%+13.0
Calum RitchieC · #64000−1113:550.0347.6%0.0
Anthony DuclairLW · #11011+1112:580.0348.4%+13.0
Casey CizikasC · #531010211:560.4154.0%+15.5
Kyle MacLeanC · #320110010:410.0053.4%+15.5
Ondrej PalatLW · #810000010:060.0050.5%0.0
David Rittich#33W32302.9382.67+0.759:45