Sat, Mar 14, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Calgary Flames 2, New York Islanders 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 55% of the time.
45%
9%
9%
36%
NYI winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:13 | 0.00 | 35.0% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.08 | 35.0% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.14 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 19:23 | 0.58 | 69.4% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.10 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.13 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.19 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.27 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.13 | 54.5% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.25 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:07 | 0.08 | 55.4% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.02 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:30 | 0.46 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.14 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.00 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.09 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 1.66 | −1.3 | 18:43 | |
| – | 17 | 17 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.26 | +1.3 | 38:29 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.11 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.18 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:32 | 0.07 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:06 | 0.02 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.17 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:07 | 0.31 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.02 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:04 | 0.38 | 47.2% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:24 | 0.15 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.51 | 47.9% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:10 | 0.42 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.03 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.09 | 36.4% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.03 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.03 | 48.4% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:56 | 0.41 | 54.0% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:41 | 0.00 | 53.4% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.67 | +0.7 | 59:45 |