Sat, Mar 14, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Calgary Flames 2, New York Islanders 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 55% of the time.
45%
9%
9%
36%
NYI winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Strome–Olofsson–Sharangovich | Frost–Coronato–Gridin | Backlund–Coleman–Farabee | Beecher–Zary–Klapka | Frost–Zary–Coronato | Maatta–Bahl | Whitecloud–Kuznetsov | Hanley–Parekh | Bahl–Parekh | Whitecloud–Parekh | Maatta–Kuznetsov | Whitecloud–Bahl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horvat–Barzal–Heineman | 4:280.45–0.10 | 3:150.16–0.06 | 0:590.13–0.05 | 2:070.00–0.04 | 3:390.10–0.06 | 3:560.30–0.14 | 2:150.06–0.03 | 0:540.18–0.00 | 0:500.02–0.09 | |||
| Schenn–Duclair–Holmstrom | 3:560.10–0.21 | 2:590.11–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.04 | 0:590.00–0.07 | 2:350.21–0.00 | 2:260.12–0.04 | 3:280.02–0.23 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:160.04–0.14 | |||
| Lee–Pageau–Ritchie | 1:000.01–0.00 | 1:540.15–0.08 | 6:100.23–0.20 | 3:420.04–0.07 | 4:210.36–0.21 | 1:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Cizikas–Palat–MacLean | 2:240.00–0.17 | 1:470.41–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:110.41–0.29 | 1:070.00–0.11 | 2:260.00–0.00 | |||||
| Pelech–DeAngelo | 5:550.33–0.24 | 3:590.56–0.00 | 1:110.06–0.03 | 1:420.00–0.04 | 4:260.65–0.18 | 4:090.23–0.14 | 4:000.06–0.13 | 0:530.18–0.00 | 0:450.02–0.00 | |||
| Pulock–Schaefer | 1:550.00–0.00 | 3:160.20–0.16 | 6:420.26–0.37 | 1:570.00–0.00 | 6:130.08–0.16 | 4:560.37–0.32 | 2:420.02–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.03 | ||||
| Mayfield–Soucy | 2:240.10–0.00 | 2:540.00–0.00 | 2:210.04–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.07 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 3:120.02–0.00 | 2:550.08–0.28 | 2:270.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:000.04–0.07 | ||
| Mayfield–DeAngelo | 1:240.06–0.13 | 0:310.00–0.06 | 0:450.07–0.00 | 0:520.06–0.13 | ||||||||
| DeAngelo–Schaefer | 0:380.04–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYICGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Kevin BahlCGY | 26 | 23:13 | 0:54 | 1:42 | 2 | 2 |
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 25 | 22:06 | 0:53 | 2:33 | 3 | 0 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 23 | 21:42 | 0:57 | 1:35 | 0 | 4 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 26 | 21:32 | 0:50 | 1:33 | 0 | 8 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 28 | 21:06 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 3 | 3 |
 Olli MaattaCGY | 26 | 21:00 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 2 | 3 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 22 | 20:01 | 0:55 | 1:50 | 1 | 0 |
 Zach WhitecloudCGY | 22 | 19:51 | 0:54 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 21 | 19:23 | 0:55 | 1:39 | 2 | 4 |
 Zayne ParekhCGY | 22 | 19:14 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 6 | 0 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 19 | 19:07 | 1:00 | 1:56 | 1 | 0 |
 Ryan StromeCGY | 21 | 18:03 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 4 | 2 |
 Morgan FrostCGY | 20 | 17:54 | 0:54 | 1:24 | 5 | 0 |
 Matt CoronatoCGY | 20 | 17:47 | 0:53 | 1:26 | 5 | 0 |
 Yan KuznetsovCGY | 21 | 17:40 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonCGY | 20 | 17:30 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 3 | 3 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 21 | 17:18 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 1 | 0 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 22 | 17:07 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 1 | 5 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 22 | 17:04 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Joel FarabeeCGY | 21 | 16:45 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 1 | 4 |
 Yegor SharangovichCGY | 21 | 16:30 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 4 | 3 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 19 | 16:24 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 3 | 0 |
 Matvei GridinCGY | 18 | 16:23 | 0:55 | 1:26 | 5 | 0 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 19 | 15:30 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 17 | 15:10 | 0:54 | 1:26 | 1 | 0 |
 Carson SoucyNYI | 21 | 15:07 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 0 | 1 |
 Brayden SchennNYI | 16 | 14:32 | 0:55 | 1:46 | 2 | 2 |
 Joel HanleyCGY | 19 | 13:58 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 16 | 13:55 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 4 | 1 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 15 | 12:58 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 16 | 11:56 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 0 | 2 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 13 | 10:41 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 0 | 2 |
 Connor ZaryCGY | 12 | 10:41 | 0:53 | 1:10 | 0 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatNYI | 14 | 10:06 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 John BeecherCGY | 12 | 9:44 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 0 | 1 |
 Adam KlapkaCGY | 11 | 8:05 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 0 | 1 |