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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 17, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Seattle Kraken 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Final

Home

Seattle Kraken

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

SEA winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Grubauer
  4. P1 5:45Goal by Goncalves (Point, Guentzel)+15 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Stephenson, Gaudreau, McCann, Montour, Lindgren · TBL Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves, Moser

  5. P1 10:16Shot by D'Astous, saved by Grubauer
  6. P1 10:41Shot by Stephenson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 11:15Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer
  8. P1 12:42Wright: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Larsson, McMann, Beniers, Evans · TBL Perry, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  9. P1 13:04Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer4v5
  10. P1 13:35Shot by Kucherov, saved by Grubauer4v5
  11. P1 14:35Evans: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Stephenson, Winterton, Evans · TBL Perry, Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Goncalves

  12. P1 15:50Shot by Winterton, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  13. P1 16:35Perry: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Gaudreau, Lindgren, Beniers · TBL Perry, Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Goncalves

  14. P1 18:08Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  15. P1 18:15Shot by Catton, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  16. P1 18:28Shot by Cirelli, saved by Grubauer5v4
  17. P1 18:49Goal by Kucherov (Hagel)+15 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Montour, Lindgren, Winterton, Melanson, Meyers · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:57Goal by Kucherov (Cirelli, Hagel)+9 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Larsson, Dunn, McMann, Beniers · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  21. P2 1:07Goal by McMann (Beniers)+9 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Larsson, Dunn, McMann, Beniers · TBL Kucherov, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  22. P2 2:50Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P2 4:22Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer
  24. P2 5:33Shot by D'Astous, saved by Grubauer
  25. P2 7:31Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 7:42Raddysh: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Kakko, McMann, Evans, Wright · TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel, Moser

  27. P2 9:46Goal by McCann (Eberle, Grubauer)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Stephenson, McCann, Dunn, Beniers · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Raddysh, Cernak, Goncalves

  28. P2 9:52Shot by Winterton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 10:28D'Astous: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Gaudreau, Montour, Lindgren, Winterton, Meyers · TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves

  30. P2 10:30Shot by Dunn, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 12:22Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  32. P2 12:27Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  33. P2 12:59Shot by Lindgren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 15:43Shot by Goncalves, saved by Grubauer
  35. P2 16:01Shot by Guentzel, saved by Grubauer
  36. P2 18:36Shot by Hagel, saved by Grubauer
  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:41Gourde: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Oleksiak, Winterton, Evans, Meyers · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser

  40. P3 0:41Meyers: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Oleksiak, Winterton, Evans, Meyers · TBL Gourde, Girgensons, Raddysh, Holmberg, Moser

  41. P3 1:18Shot by Kucherov, saved by Grubauer
  42. P3 1:34Shot by McMann, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P3 2:13Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P3 3:47Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer
  45. P3 3:54Shot by Girgensons, saved by Grubauer
  46. P3 4:35Goal by Cirelli (Kucherov, Hagel)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Montour, Lindgren, McMann, Beniers · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  47. P3 8:10Shot by Girgensons, saved by Grubauer
  48. P3 9:05Shot by McDonagh, saved by Grubauer
  49. P3 9:20Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 9:36Shot by Eberle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 12:58Shot by Raddysh, saved by Grubauer
  52. P3 15:06McMann: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Montour, Dunn, McMann, Beniers · TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Point, D'Astous, Goncalves

  53. P3 15:26Shot by Guentzel, saved by Grubauer4v5
  54. P3 16:54Goal by Hagel (Goncalves, Kucherov)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Gaudreau, Lindgren, Meyers · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Goncalves

  55. P3 17:05Shot by Wright, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 17:16Goal by Kucherov (Cirelli)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Eberle, Stephenson, McCann, Montour, Dunn, Beniers · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  57. P3 19:18Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Grubauer
  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final