Tue, Mar 17, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Seattle Kraken 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.
9%
78%
SEA winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 22:10 | 0.11 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.09 | 69.0% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 7 | 19:49 | 1.37 | 69.3% | +42.7 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:39 | 0.16 | 55.0% | +15.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:11 | 0.01 | 76.1% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:46 | 0.13 | 58.6% | +15.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.07 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.29 | 72.3% | +42.5 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 | 0.07 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.00 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.32 | 68.5% | +26.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.09 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.23 | 93.4% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.08 | 98.0% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:58 | 0.18 | 45.6% | +16.4 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 5.9% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.09 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.35 | −0.6 | 59:03 |
Seattle Kraken
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Brandon MontourD · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 3 | 23:11 | 0.08 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
 Vince DunnD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.06 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
 Jordan EberleRW · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:44 | 0.08 | 37.4% | +15.9 |
 Adam LarssonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.07 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
 Matty BeniersC · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.02 | 34.5% | +9.2 |
 Ryan LindgrenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.05 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
 Chandler StephensonC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.03 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryker EvansD · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.00 | 95.3% | 0.0 |
 Jamie OleksiakD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.03 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.11 | 25.0% | +9.2 |
 Frederick GaudreauC · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.07 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Shane WrightC · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.06 | 19.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan WintertonC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.12 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Berkly CattonC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.08 | 15.1% | 0.0 |
 Kaapo KakkoRW · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.04 | 15.1% | 0.0 |
 Jared McCannLW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.27 | 60.7% | +15.9 |
 Ben MeyersC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
 Jacob MelansonRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.19 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Philipp Grubauer#31 | L | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 2.52 | −2.5 | 59:23 |